Deal Sniper

Braylon Payne

CF · Double-A · 20.0y · #1436 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

26 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Braylon Payne scores 56 out of 100 (#1436 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 33 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .100 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .736 last season to .573 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .142 last season to .100 this one.

  • Speed: plus

    36 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    33 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BP — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BP

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

26 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT 1ST AUTO REFRACTOR BRAYLON PAYNE /499 PSA 10

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $368

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor BRAYLON PAYNE Auto /499 1st Bowman 🔥🔥🔥

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $39.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CPA-BP

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $39.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CPA-BP

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $39.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft - BRAYLON PAYNE (Bowman 1st) - Chrome Auto - #CPA-BP

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $78.00

    modeled ~$34.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Braylon Payne #CPA-BP Auto 0nu6

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $101.26

    modeled ~$34.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Braylon Payne, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $39.00–$81.90, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $78.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $78.00 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $205.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $205.17 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $454.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $454.99 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +122%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 26% at his level

    30.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    44

    below average · better than 28% at his level

    .100 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    9.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    36 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .573 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 44th percentile of the cohort, production at the 19th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 88% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 44 and his production sits at 19, a gap of +25. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 88th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.8 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • young for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

33

AVG

.200

OBP

.273

SLG

.300

OPS

.573

better than 19%

HR

0

SB

2

BB%

9.1

K%

30.3

Is this player getting better?

Down from .736 to .573 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.736▼.573

Power

.142▼.100

Walks

15.2%▼9.1%

Strikeouts

30.1%→30.3%

Last season, 342 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $150.00 · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
Listings
26

26 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$78.00
Median ask
$205.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$78.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$205.17

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 20 cards

  • $101.272024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Braylon Payne #CPA-BP Auto e7oNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $107.022024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Braylon Payne #CPA-BP Auto yj0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $205.172024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Edition #CPA-BP Braylon Payne 1st Auto #/199NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $205.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Braylon Payne Refractor /499 Mint PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $231.99Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor 1st /150 PSA 9!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $454.992024 Bowman Draft Braylon Payne Chrome 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto /71NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $573.99Braylon Payne MLB 2024 Bowman Topps Chrome 1st Auto PSA9 Limited 99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $2004.25Braylon Payne Auto True Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7509.992024 BRAYLON PAYNE 1st Bowman Draft AUTO True Orange Ref /25 PSA 10 💎 Pop 2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPABP - Milwaukee BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 1st Bowman Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BP Brewers + 1st Refractor!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —BRAYLON PAYNE 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-BP HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR /150 1ST AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Braylon Payne Auto 1st GEM MINT #CPA-BP Milwaukee BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 1st Bowman Auto 2024 Bowman Draft - #CPA-BP BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 2024 1st Bowman Auto /99 Green Lava Au Rc Brewers #CPA-BPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 1st Bowman Yellow Auto /75NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Braylon Payne 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Green Lava Refractor /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —BRAYLON PAYNE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-BP BLACK REFRACTOR /10 AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —BRAYLON PAYNE 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-BP GREEN REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —BRAYLON PAYNE 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-BP SPARKLES REFRACTOR /71 1ST PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now