Justice Bigbie
CF · Triple-A · 27.0y · #4363 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
35 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
46 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Justice Bigbie scores 35 out of 100 (#4363 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus — 11.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 92% at his level.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 68 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Power: well below
.079 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.772 last season to .642 this one.
Power slipping
.131 last season to .079 this one.
Contact: plus
11.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 92% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
68 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 28 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 30 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 28 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $8.99 costs 1.39× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
46 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 46 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 40 are under "The whole live market".
Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Tigers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$8.99
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB Auto Refractor /499 1st RC Tigers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.94
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150 1st Prospect
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.94
modeled ~$6.99
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150 1st Prospect
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.94
modeled ~$6.99
LOTTERY
Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Sparkle Speckle /299 Tigers
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$13.99
no sold price
LOTTERY
Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR 1st RC AUTO /299 CPA-JB
/299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.96
no sold price
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.48 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Mini Diamond Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.96, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.96 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +131%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $29.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $29.16 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +109%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.99 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +41%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
11.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
.079 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
42
below average · better than 21% at his level
7.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
49
average · better than 45% at his level
9 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level · the result, not a skill
.642 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 44th percentile of the cohort, production at the 25th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 44 and his production sits at 25, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
68
AVG
.254
OBP
.309
SLG
.333
OPS
.642
better than 25%
HR
1
SB
1
BB%
7.4
K%
11.8
Is this player getting better?
Down from .772 to .642 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.772▼.642
Power
.131▼.079
Walks
10.4%▼7.4%
Strikeouts
15.3%▼11.8%
Last season, 452 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $15.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 40 not shown above
- Listings
- 46
- Lowest seen
- $6.48
- Median ask
- $12.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.48
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.99
46 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 40 cards
- $15.99Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 Tigers LOTTERY
- $29.162025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB 1st Green Lava Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.99Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Yellow Refractor /75 Tigers NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto True Blue /150 CPA-JB Tigers ⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Auto 1st Bowman- Justice Bigbie, #CPA-JB /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR 1st RC AUTO /299 CPA-JBNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.48Justice Bigbie 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $6.972025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $7.092025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $7.452025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Justice Bigbie Auto CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $8.002025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Rookie Auto RC 1st #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $8.49JUSTICE BIGBIE 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect On-Card AUTO #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $9.892025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospects #CPA-JB Justice Bigbie 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $9.99Justice Bigbie 1ST AUTO 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JB DetroitLOTTERY
- $10.702025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Justice Bigbie Auto Detroit Tigers #CPA-JBLOTTERY
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JB Detroit TigersLOTTERY
- $11.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospects #CPA-JB Justice Bigbie 1st Auto TigersLOTTERY
- $12.002025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $12.172025 BOWMAN CHROME JUSTICE BIGBIE 1ST ROOKIE AUTO TIGERSLOTTERY
- $13.982025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JB Detroit TigersLOTTERY
- $13.992025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- $16.002025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st #CPA-JB TigersLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB Prospect Autograph Tigers AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB Prospect Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JUSTICE BIGBIE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH TIGERS #CPA-JB AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JB Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto, TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Base Prospect Auto TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JBNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JB TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB 1st Bowman Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JB Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman Auto – Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie 1st Bowman autoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JUSTICE BIGBIE 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Base SP Auto DETROIT TIGERS #CPA-JBNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Justice Bigbie Auto 1st Tigers On CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $22.952025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 378/499 Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB Auto pe8LOTTERY
- $23.012025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 153/499 Justice Bigbie #CPA-JB Auto 1ff8LOTTERY
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run