Erny Orellana
CF · Rookie · 19.0y · #414 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Nothing listed
- What to do
- Nothing to buy
67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.
No card of his is listed, and we have no benchmark price to set a target against yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, nothing for sale.
Erny Orellana scores 67 out of 100 (#414 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .210 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 90% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
There is nothing of his to buy right now, so this is a page to come back to rather than act on.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Plate discipline: below average
12.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.210 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 90% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: plus
13.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 86% at his level.
Power improving
.169 last season to .210 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Nothing to buy
No card of his is listed in the store right now, so none of the market reading above is actionable today.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Something of his has to be listed before there is anything to act on.
What is for sale right now
No live listings. Nothing of his is in the store right now.
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Erny Orellana, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within under $40.00, your stated ceiling. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
13.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level
.210 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
44
below average · better than 27% at his level
12.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
47
average · better than 39% at his level
20 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level · the result, not a skill
.826 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 70th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 70, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.1 / 10
- hitting well — 0.826 OPS in 181 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
181
AVG
.257
OBP
.359
SLG
.467
OPS
.826
better than 70%
HR
4
SB
6
BB%
12.2
K%
13.3
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .811 to .826 OPS.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.811→.826
Power
.169▲.210
Walks
15.0%▼12.2%
Strikeouts
21.2%▼13.3%
Last season, 160 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live marketnothing of his is listed
Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
- We do not have a live card to price.