Deal Sniper

Jace Jung

3B · Triple-A · 25.0y · #730 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Jace Jung scores 61 out of 100 (#730 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    3 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .817 last season to .773 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    15.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JJ — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JJ

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $14.98 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Autographs 1st Jace Jung Auto Detroit Tigers #CDA-JJ

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 45d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.98

    modeled ~$10.98

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • JACE JUNG 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-JJ

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 50d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.49

    modeled ~$10.98

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Jace Jung #CDAJJ Chrome 1st Auto PSA 9 Detroit Tigers

    base · PSA 9 · listed 93d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $27.99

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jace Jung #CDA-JJ Auto 15r3

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $38.02

    modeled ~$10.98

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jace Jung #CDA-JJ Auto 1cc7

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $40.32

    modeled ~$10.98

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jace Jung #CDA-JJ Auto xb2

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $43.77

    modeled ~$10.98

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jace Jung, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $7.49–$15.73, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $14.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $100.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $100.12 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +568%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $51.50 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -49%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13995.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $13995.00 live
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +27075%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    21.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    .196 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    15.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    3 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .773 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 62th percentile of the cohort, production at the 55th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 62 and his production sits at 55, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 58th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

471

AVG

.227

OBP

.350

SLG

.423

OPS

.773

better than 55%

HR

19

SB

2

BB%

15.7

K%

21.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .817 to .773 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.817▼.773

Power

.195→.196

Walks

15.8%→15.7%

Strikeouts

25.3%▼21.0%

Last season, 495 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$14.98
Median ask
$51.50
Cheapest 1st auto
$14.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$51.50

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • $51.502022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Sparkle Refractor Jace Jung on card AUTO /71 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $52.392022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jace Jung #CDA-JJ Auto 0w3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $100.122022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 496/499 Jace Jung #CDA-JJ Auto 1cc7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $105.292022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jace Jung #CDA-JJ PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 06qfNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $182.192022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Jace Jung PSA 9 MINT Auto 0w27NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $255.172022 Bowman Draft Jace Jung 1st Bowman Chrome Sparkle Auto /71 PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13995.0023 Bowman Chrome Jace Jung 1/1 SuperFractor Gold Vinyl On Card Auto! Round 1pickNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Draft Jace Jung Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CDA-JJ TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Draft 1st Jace Jung Chrome Auto Refractor #/499 PSA 10 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jace Jung RC Black Refractor Patch Auto /10 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Green Shimmer Refractor CPA-JJ Jace Jung Psa10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Draft Jace Jung #CDAJJ Chrome 1st Auto PSA 9 Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Jace Jung #CDA-JJ PSA 9 TIGERSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects- Auto PSA 10 Jace JungNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jace Jung 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Gold Wave Auto /50 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Jung 1st Auto Sparkle /71 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —JACE JUNG 2022 Bowman 1st Edition Draft Refractor RC Auto /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Jace Jung/499 1st Refractor Rookie AUTO #CDA-JJ PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 JACE JUNG BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BLUE WAVE REFRACTOR AUTO /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now