Deal Sniper

Raymer Medina

SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #1409 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

51 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto…. Priced above value.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Raymer Medina scores 56 out of 100 (#1409 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–4 off 2 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .074 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    19.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 77% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: above average

    18.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 65% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 27 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$2.70–4.35midpoint $3.95

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 29 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 27 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-RM Raymer Medina Chrome Speckle Refractor048/299 at $15.50, 292% over the $3–3.95 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $3 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.

What is for sale right now

51 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 50 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 44 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto #CPA-RM Rays Prospect Autograph

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $3–3.95

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Raymer Medina Popcorn On Card Auto /5 SSP Rays

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $205.98

    modeled $4.86–18.25

    PASS

  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Raymer Medina Tampa Bay Rays 1st Auto #CPA-RM

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    sold $3–3.95

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Raymer Medina Popcorn Refractor /5 Auto CPA-RM

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.86–18.25

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Raymer Medina Chrome Auto 1st Bowman TB Rays MLB

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 319d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $3–3.95

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto Mini Diamond Refractor /100 1st Prospect

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $23.94

    modeled $2.43–9.12

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +140%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +29%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $289.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1354%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mini Diamond Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $23.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -92%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $205.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +760%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level

    18.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    .074 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    19.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    35 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .755 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 55th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 55, a gap of +4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 56th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

241

AVG

.266

OBP

.415

SLG

.340

OPS

.755

better than 55%

HR

2

SB

14

BB%

19.9

K%

18.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .598 up to .755 OPS.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

OPS

.598.755

Power

.087.074

Walks

14.0%19.9%

Strikeouts

27.4%18.3%

Last season, 164 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market51 listed · 51 eBay-verified · 44 not shown above
Listings
51

51 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.45
Median ask
$15.50
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.45
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$19.94

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 44 cards

  • Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RM 1st AUTO True Blue #/150PASS
  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina RC Auto #CPA-RM Rays HTA Choice /150PASS
  • RAYMER MEDINA | 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN CHOICE HTA REFRACTOR AUTO /150PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Raymer Medina Blue RayWave /150 Rays #CPA-RM RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina #CPA-RM 1st Bowman Auto Blue Reptilian /150PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina 1st Bowman Auto CPA-RM RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-RM Raymer Medina Rays 1st Purple Refractor /250PASS
  • $19.942025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto Speckle Refractor 1st Prospect # 256/299LOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Raymer Medina Speckle Refractor Auto #125/299 CPA-RM RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina 1st Bowman Auto CPA-RM RaysPASS
  • RAYMER MEDINA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO REFRACTOR /499 #CPA-RM RAYS Q3668-2PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome RAYMER MEDINA 1st Auto Refractor #CPA-RM 406/499 RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto 1st #CPA-RM & Speckle /399 Rays PASS
  • $21.902025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Refractor Auto /499 PSA 6LOTTERY
  • $33.99Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects RC Choice Auto #CPA-RM /150 PSA 9🔥📈NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.902025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $289.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Raymer Medina #CPA-RM Auto 16z7PASS
  • $6.45Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Raymer Medina Rays 1st Auto #CPA-RMPASS
  • $7.022025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina 1st Auto CPA-RM Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • $7.352025 Bowman Chrome RAYMER MEDINA 1st Bowman On Card Auto Prospect #CPA-RMPASS
  • $7.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-RM RAYMER MEDINA 1st Prospect RaysPASS
  • $10.692025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect - Raymer Medina Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • $10.952025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-RM Rays SPPASS
  • $11.24RAYMER MEDINA 2025 Bowman 1ST CHROME AUTO #CPA-RM RAYS - Bowman ChromePASS
  • $15.502025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-RM Raymer Medina Chrome Speckle Refractor048/299PASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Raymer Medina #CPA-RM Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina CPA-RM Tampa Bay Rays Auto 1st Bowman RCPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Raymer Medina Rays 1st Auto #CPA-RMPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto 1ST #CPA-RM RaysPASS
  • 2025 Topps Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina #CPA-RM 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • RAYMER MEDINA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL RAYS AUTO Q1940PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-RMPASS
  • Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Rays CPA-RMPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina #CPA-RM 1st Bowman Auto PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospects Auto Raymer Medina #CPA-RMPASS
  • 2025 Topps Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Chrome Base Auto, Raymer MedinaPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina 1st Auto Tampa Bay Rays CPA-RMPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina auto autograph 1st bowmanPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospects Auto Raymer Medina #CPA-RMPASS
  • Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • Raymer Medina 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Raymer Medina 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RM Tampa Bay RaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Raymer Medina 1st Bowman Auto SSSP Black and White ShimmerPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player