Nathan Flewelling
C · High-A · 19.0y · #96 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
80 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $44.99, over the $32.55–36 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft 1st #CPA-NF Nathan… at $46.98. Needs a $19 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, expensive market.
Nathan Flewelling scores 80 out of 100 (#96 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $32–35 off 8 confirmed sales.
The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Power: plus
.213 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 83/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
15.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 76% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-NF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$32–35midpoint $32.55
Confirmed· 8 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-NF
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Nathan Flewelling 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-NF at $156, 206% over the $51–85 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $51 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $19 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2024 Bowman Draft 1st #CPA-NF Nathan… at or under $28 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
30 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 30 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 24 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor 1st #/71 Rays
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 95d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$271.00
modeled $38.40–98
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling Chrome Auto Sparkles Refractor 1st #/71 Rays
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 53d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $38.40–98
PASS
Nathan Flewelling 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 Rays
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 112d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $38.40–98
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-NF Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Nathan Flewelling
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $32.55–36
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Nathan Flewelling 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 Rays #CPA-NF
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $28.80–73.50
PASS
Nathan Flewelling 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$206.74
sold $105
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Nathan Flewelling, just what the money can do today.
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
- Charles McAdoo/150$45.16Watch47% under fair value
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $22.50–$47.24, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $44.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $156.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $156.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +247%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $206.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $206.74 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $312.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $312.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $271.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $271.00 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
27.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
.213 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
15.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
48
average · better than 41% at his level
10 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill
.812 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 77, a gap of -17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 23th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- young for High-A
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
461
AVG
.237
OBP
.362
SLG
.450
OPS
.812
better than 77%
HR
21
SB
8
BB%
15.0
K%
27.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .729 to .812 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.729▲.812
Power
.107▲.213
Walks
20.3%▼15.0%
Strikeouts
27.6%→27.3%
Last season, 439 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $37.99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market30 listed · 30 eBay-verified · 24 not shown above
- Listings
- 30
- Lowest seen
- $44.99
- Median ask
- $260.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $44.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $156.00
30 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 24 cards
- $249.99Nathan Flewelling 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199 Z2PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Nathan Flewelling 1st True Blue Refractor Auto #/150PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome 1st Auto Nathan Flewelling #CPA-NF Purple Ref /250 PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft - NATHAN FLEWELLING (Bowman 1st) Green Lava Auto /99 - #CPA-NFPASS
- $312.902024 1st Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling * HTA Choice * Refractor Auto RC /150PASS
- $455.252024 Bowman Draft NATHAN FLEWELLING TRUE BLUE Refractor AUTO 1st /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $904.252024 Bowman Draft NATHAN FLEWELLING TRUE BLUE Refractor AUTO 1st /150 PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Nathan Flewelling 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor 1st #/71 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Nathan Flewelling On Card Auto /150 RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling Auto Blue Wave Refractor 1st #/150 PSA 9 RayNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Nathan Flewelling Yellow Refractor Auto /75 1st Bowman Chrome PSA 9 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Nathan Flewelling 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Prospect Auto Purple /250 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $44.992024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling 1st Auto Rays #CPA-NFPASS
- $46.982024 Bowman Draft 1st #CPA-NF Nathan Flewelling Chrome Autograph Auto RaysPASS
- $56.422024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nathan Flewelling #CPA-NF Auto 1e8ePASS
- $156.002024 Bowman Chrome Draft Nathan Flewelling 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-NFPASS
- $292.902024 1st Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling * True * Refractor Auto RC /499 MVPPASS
- $292.902024 1st Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling * True * Refractor Auto RC /499 I2 MVPPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Autographs Nathan Flewelling #CPA-NF 1st First AutoPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Nathan Flewelling 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-NF 🔥🔥PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Nathan Flewelling #CPA-NF Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —Nathan Flewelling 1st Bowman Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-NF RaysPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Nathan Flewelling 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-NF RaysPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run