
Braden Montgomery
RF · Charlotte Knights · Triple-A · 23.0y · #386 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
53 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Braden… at $1,518. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Braden Montgomery scores 67 out of 100 (#386 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: above average
13.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 76% at his level.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Power: above average
.180 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
/499$74.82delivered
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 85/499 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM Auto 13c1 — $74.82 delivered, 0% under the $74.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
53 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 85/499 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM Auto 13c1
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 0d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$74.82
sold $74.99
PASS · 0% under
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$129.99
sold $74.99
PASS
2024 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor /499 BRADEN MONTGOMERY Auto White Sox #CPA-BM
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $74.99
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 RC
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$111.99
sold $74.99
PASS
Bowman 2024 Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BM PSA 9 RC
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 3d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$65.17
modeled ~$99.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Bowman 2024 Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BM PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · listed 13d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$94.98
modeled ~$99.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Braden Montgomery, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
Compared within $32.59–$68.43, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $804.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $804.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $74.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $74.82 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -91%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.89, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.89 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +308%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $355.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $355.45 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +17%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $382.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $382.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +8%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
28 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
48
average · better than 42% at his level
24.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level
.180 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
13.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
14 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill
.912 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 86% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 14th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.0 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.912 OPS in 132 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
132
AVG
.315
OBP
.417
SLG
.495
OPS
.912
better than 84%
HR
4
SB
3
BB%
13.6
K%
24.2
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $199.99 plus $0.00 shipping · /99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market53 listed · 53 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
- Listings
- 53
- Lowest seen
- $65.17
- Median ask
- $298.91
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $65.17
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $111.99
53 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 47 cards
- $183.982024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPABM PSA 10 Gem MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $190.002024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery #CPABM PSA 10 Chrome Prospect Autograph AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $256.992024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM White Sox PSA 10💥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $258.002024 Bowman Draft - Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $259.99Braden Montgomery Signed 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Lunar Refractor /199 Auto PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
- $270.752024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Chrome Auto PSA 10 PSA10 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $289.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Auto PSA 10 GEM MT #CPA-BM RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $292.942024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 💎 MINT 🔥📈NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $304.89Braden Montgomery AUTO #/250 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Purple RefractorNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.482024 Bowman Draft 1st Blue Wave Auto BRADEN MONTGOMERY /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $324.952024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery #CPABM PSA 9 23/75 Baseball Mint AUTO 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $325.49Braden Montgomery Signed 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor PSA 10 AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $338.98Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft Psa 10 1st Bowman Auto Gem Mint Rookie RcNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $349.99Braden Montgomery signed 2023 1st Bowman Chrome PSA 10 Auto Green /99 RefractorNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $355.45Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto Chrome Blue Wave Refractor /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $382.00BRADEN MONTGOMERY 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome True Blue Refractor AUTO RC /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $481.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery HTA Choice Rookie RC Auto /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $506.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery HTA Choice Rookie RC Auto /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $804.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Braden Montgomery Auto sc8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1255.502024 Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 10 Gem BKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1518.002024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Braden Montgomery 1st Chrome Auto Orange /25 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Braden Montgomery 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue Mojo Refractor Auto /150 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor AUTO /250 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery Chrome Prospect On Card Auto PSA 10 SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Braden Montgomery 1st Auto 2024 Bowman CPA-BM True Yellow Refractor Auto 43/75 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps Bowman Draft 2024 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM 1st Auto Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Braden Montgomery Bowman 1st Auto PSA 10 2024 #CPABMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 Chicago White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Braden Montgomery Auto Steel Metal Refractor #/100NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps Bowman Draft 2024 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM 1st Auto Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2026 Bowman Braden Montgomery Chrome Auto Blue Mojo Refractor /150 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Auto /75 White Sox NEAR MINT!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Braden Montgomery Green Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 1st 2024 Braden Montgomery Auto Green /99 #CPA-BMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Auto Chrome Sapphire Braden Montgomery Green Auto /99 CPA-BM NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Auto PSA 10 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-BM PSA 10 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Sapphire Auto /199 PSA9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Auto Aqua Lava /199 RC NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Auto Blue Wave /150 PSA 9 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Year Purple Refractor Auto #/250!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Braden Montgomery Aqua Auto #/199 🔥 2024 Bowman Draft Bowman 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPABM Green Grass Braden Montgomery PSA 10 #99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft- #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499PASS
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run