Deal Sniper

Myles Naylor

3B · High-A · 21.0y · #1852 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $9.75, over the $7.60 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

The ask is over the odds — $9.75 against $7.60 these actually sell for — so the ask is not the price to think about. The offer is.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Myles Naylor scores 51 out of 100 (#1852 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $6–10 off 1 confirmed sale.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (36.2% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    36.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    3B is a position the hobby pays up for.

  • OPS improving

    .626 last season to .648 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (36.2% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MN — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$5.70–9.50midpoint $7.60

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 5 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MN

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Myles Naylor 1st Bowman - 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO #CPA-MN Oakland A's at $40.87, 438% over the $7.60 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $7.60 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

11 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 9 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 3 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Myles Naylor Auto 7/25 Orange Shimmer Refractor #CPA-MN

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 493d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $352.75

    modeled $10.26–39.90

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st PURPLE REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Myles Naylor /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.45–17.29

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Myles Naylor Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-MN Oakland A's

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.75

    sold $7.60

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Myles Naylor #CPA-MN (AU, RC) 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.49

    sold $7.60

    LOTTERY

  • Myles Naylor 1st Bowman - 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTO #CPA-MN Oakland A's

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 502d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $40.87

    sold $7.60

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Myles Naylor CPA-MN 1st Bowman Auto Athletics MLB

    base · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $7.60

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +373%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange Shimmer Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $352.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +666%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 47 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 13% at his level

    36.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    .119 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level

    11.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    11 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    46

    below average · better than 35% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .648 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 38th percentile of the cohort, production at the 35th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 38 and his production sits at 35, a gap of +3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 51th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.7 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

265

AVG

.216

OBP

.313

SLG

.335

OPS

.648

better than 35%

HR

4

SB

5

BB%

11.7

K%

36.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .626 to .648 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.626.648

Power

.122.119

Walks

15.4%11.7%

Strikeouts

39.7%36.2%

Last season, 345 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 3 not shown above
Listings
11

11 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$9.75
Median ask
$40.87
Cheapest 1st auto
$9.75
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$352.75

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 3 cards

  • 2024 topps bowman chrome 1st Myles Naylor AutoPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Myles Naylor 1st Bowman Mojo Refractor Auto CPA-MNPASS
  • $46.072024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 208/499 Myles Naylor #CPA-MN Auto 1b1gPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player