Deal Sniper

Noelvi Marte

RF · Triple-A · 24.0y · #538 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

64 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Noelvi Marte 2019 Bowman Chrome… at $100,006. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Noelvi Marte scores 64 out of 100 (#538 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    6.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: plus

    15.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 85% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Speed: plus

    29 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 81% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

19 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Noelvi Marte Auto 1st #CPA-NMA Mariners

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $46.50

    modeled ~$13.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 First Bowman Chrome Noelvi Marte Mojo Inscribed Auto #97 PSA Auto 10

    Mojo · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $119.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor /250 Noelvi Marte BGS 9.5 Auto 5h0

    /250 · BGS 9.5 · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $203.08

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Auto Noelvi Marte #CPA-NMA Blue Refractor /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 58d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.98

    modeled ~$64.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Noelvi Marte Blue Refractor Auto /150 - BGS 9.5/10 Reds

    /150 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 58d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.98

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome #CPA-NMA Noelvi Marte 1st True Blue Auto /150 PSA 10

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.99

    modeled ~$175.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Noelvi Marte, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $23.25–$48.83, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $46.50 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $305.98 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +558%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    60

    plus · better than 85% at his level

    15.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level

    .196 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level

    6.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level

    29 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .984 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 63th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 90% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 63 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 10th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.984 OPS in 184 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

184

AVG

.375

OBP

.413

SLG

.571

OPS

.984

better than 91%

HR

8

SB

9

BB%

6.5

K%

15.2

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .969 to .984 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.969→.984

Power

.209→.196

Walks

15.1%▼6.5%

Strikeouts

13.2%▲15.2%

Last season, 53 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
Listings
19

19 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$46.50
Median ask
$305.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$46.50
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$305.98

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 11 cards

  • $331.002019 Bowman Chrome Noelvi Marte 1st Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $359.99NOELVI MARTE signed auto autographed 2019 1st Bowman PSA 10 Auto Gem 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $100006.00Noelvi Marte 2019 Bowman Chrome SuperFractor 1st RC Auto 1/1 BGS 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —🔥 Noelvi Marte Rookie On Card Auto 1st 2019 Bowman Chrome #BCP-97 Mariners SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —NOELVI MARTE 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1st AUTO RC PSA 10 GEM MT Mariners RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2019 Bowman Chrome Noelvi Marte RC 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150 BGS 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —🔥 Noelvi Marte Rookie On Card Auto 1st 2019 Bowman Chrome #BCP-97 Mariners SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2019 Bowman Sterling Noelvi Marte Autograph RC Chrome Auto Reds 1st YearNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Noelvi Marte 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor RC ON CARD Auto /499 CINCYNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —NOELVI MARTE 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1st BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO/150 RC PSA 9 MINT REDSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2019 Bowman Chrome Noelvi Marte 1st RC Prospect Auto #CPA-NMA PSA 9 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now