Kenny Fenelon
CF · Rookie · 18.0y · #604 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Priced fairly
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $9.45, inside the $3.79–9.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto… at $9.45. Needs a $4 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, priced about right.
Kenny Fenelon scores 62 out of 100 (#604 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–11 off 3 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (35.1% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
Contact: well below
35.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.211 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 90% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: plus
62 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 88% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (35.1% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 21 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$3.41–10.99midpoint $7.99
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 23 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KF
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 21 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon Auto Black & White Shimmer Refractor 1st RC at $204, 2452% over the $3.79–9.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $3.79 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $4 drop
- Player not there yet
- Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto… at or under $6.39 delivered.
What is for sale right now
46 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 46 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 40 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Kenny Fenelon Prospect Auto #CPA-KF Milwaukee Brewers 🍻
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 24d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $3.79–9.99
PASS · 6% under
Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD REFRACTOR 18/50 Brewers Raw RC z1
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$149.99
modeled $4.91–36.92
PASS
KENNY FENELON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-KF
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 274d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $3.79–9.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon Auto Blue RayWave Refractor /150 1st RC
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$43.94
modeled $3.07–23.08
PASS
Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Mini-Diamond REFRACTOR 046/100 RC z1
/100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$59.99
modeled $3.07–23.08
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Auto RC Blue RayWave Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $3.07–23.08
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.45 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Shimmer RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $203.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $203.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +2058%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.42 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -92%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.42 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +80%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $43.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $43.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $59.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $59.99 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $149.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $149.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +150%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level
35.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level
.211 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level
18.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level
62 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level · the result, not a skill
.825 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 70th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 70, a gap of -6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 40th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.1 / 10
- hitting well — 0.825 OPS in 222 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
222
AVG
.227
OBP
.387
SLG
.438
OPS
.825
better than 70%
HR
7
SB
23
BB%
18.5
K%
35.1
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .703 up to .825 OPS.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.703▲.825
Power
.141▲.211
Walks
15.1%▲18.5%
Strikeouts
23.7%▲35.1%
Last season, 219 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 40 not shown above
- Listings
- 46
- Lowest seen
- $9.45
- Median ask
- $19.42
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $9.45
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $16.42
46 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 40 cards
- $34.98Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR 003/250 Brewers RC z3PASS
- $39.97Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR 003/250 Brewers RC z3PASS
- $19.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO SPECKLE REFRACTOR 181/299 CPA-KF RC z3LOTTERY
- $21.45Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-KF BrewersLOTTERY
- $16.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 086/499 Brewers Raw RC z1LOTTERY
- $19.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 065/499 CPA-KF Raw RC z1LOTTERY
- $19.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 072/499 Brewers Raw RC z2LOTTERY
- $19.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 491/499 Brewers Raw RC z3LOTTERY
- $19.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO REFRACTOR 346/499 Brewers Raw RC z4LOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Kenny Fenelon Prospect Refractor Auto #029/499 #CPA-KF 🍻PASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Kenny Fenelon Prospect Refractor Auto #/499 #CPA-KF 🍻RCPASS
- $49.522025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Kenny Fenelon Auto rw6PASS
- $159.99Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD REFRACTOR /50 PSA 9 Brewers RC z3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $159.99Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO ORANGE REFRACTOR /25 PSA 9 Brewers z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /299 * Speckle * Kenny Fenelon Refractor PSA RC AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $372.85Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome Yellow Refractor 1st Auto /75 PSA 10 BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.512025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 399/499 Kenny Fenelon #CPA-KF Auto 0j0oPASS
- $9.45Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-KF BrewersPASS
- $9.452025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Prospect Auto Milwaukee Brewers #CPA-KFPASS
- $9.48Kenny Fenelon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-KF BrewersPASS
- $10.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KF KENNY FENELON 1st Prospect RC BrewersPASS
- $10.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KF KENNY FENELON 1st Prospect RC BrewersPASS
- $11.42Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Brewers AUTOGRAPH Prospect Raw RC z34PASS
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto CPA-KF Brewers - KENNY FENELONPASS
- $12.492025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto - Kenny Fenelon #CPA-KF Auto (RC) Milwaukee BrewersPASS
- $12.682025 Bowman Chrome KENNY FENELON Milwaukee Brewers Rookie Prospect 1st AutoPASS
- $13.842025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Kenny Fenelon Auto Milwaukee Brewers #CPA-KFPASS
- $13.892025 Bowman Chrome - Kenny Fenelon 1st Auto #CPA-KF Brewers ProspectPASS
- $16.492025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Kenny Fenelon Auto #CPA-KFPASS
- $19.002025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KFPASS
- $203.942025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon Auto Black & White Shimmer Refractor 1st RCPASS
- —Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Brewers AUTOGRAPH Prospect Raw RC PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Kenny Fenelon 1st Auto BrewersPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Bowman Auto CPA-KF BrewersPASS
- —Kenny Fenelon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Brewers AUTOGRAPH Prospect Raw RCPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Kenny Fenelon #CPA-KF (AU, RC)PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon #CPA-KF 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Auto, Brewers, #CPA-KFPASS
- —2025 BOWMAN CHROME KENNY FENELON 1ST PROSPECT AUTO MILWAUKEE BREWERSPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kenny Fenelon 1st Black & White Shimmer RED INK Auto BrewersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run