Echedry Vargas
SS · Low-A · 21.0y · #302 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
70 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EV Echedry… at $81.45. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Echedry Vargas scores 70 out of 100 (#302 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .271 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Plate discipline: well below
7.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Power: plus-plus
.271 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
21.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 67% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (95th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
OPS improving
.577 last season to .945 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".
Echedry Vargas 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Red Refractor /5 1st PSA 10 Pop 1
/5 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1999.99
modeled $141–192
PASS
Echedry Vargas 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto True Green Refractor /99 Marlins
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $16.20–30.60
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Echedry Vargas Mojo Chrome Refractor Auto Card /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 682d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$304.00
modeled $13.50–25.50
PASS
Echedry Vargas 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue Raywave /150 Marlins #CPA-EV
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $13.50–25.50
PASS
Echedry Vargas 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Sapphire /199 Marlins #CSPA-EV
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $12.15–22.95
PASS
Echedry Vargas 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 Marlins #CPA-EV
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $11.70–22.10
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
21.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
.271 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level
7.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
48
average · better than 43% at his level
13 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill
.945 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 96% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 4th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- old for Low-A
- hitting well — 0.945 OPS in 377 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
377
AVG
.310
OBP
.364
SLG
.581
OPS
.945
better than 91%
HR
22
SB
8
BB%
7.2
K%
21.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .577 up to .945 OPS.
Moved down from High-A to Low-A.
OPS
.577▲.945
Power
.121▲.271
Walks
5.3%▲7.2%
Strikeouts
24.8%▼21.8%
Last season, 323 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest live
- $30.00
- Median ask
- $100.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $30.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $30.00
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 5 cards
- —2024 Bowman Chrome ECHEDRY VARGAS 1st Refractor Auto /499 CPA-EVPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome ECHEDRY VARGAS 1st Refractor Auto /499 CPA-EVPASS
- $30.002024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Echedry Vargas #CPA-EV Green Reptilian /99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $81.452024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EV Echedry Vargas Blue Raywave /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $100.00ECHEDRY VARGAS PSA 9 2024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GOLD REFRACTOR 1ST PROSPECT 50/50NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run