Payton Tolle
SP · Worcester Red Sox · Triple-A · 23.0y · #1034 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
29 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Payton Tolle Signed Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Payton Tolle scores 57 out of 100 (#1034 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Payton Tolle 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 🔥 Red Sox at $1,010, 373% over the $214 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/150 at or under $214 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
29 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 29 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 23 are under "The whole live market".
Payton Tolle Signed Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st PSA 10 DNA Boston Red Sox
Red · PSA 10 · listed 15d
Player not there yet
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $435–450
PASS · 43% under
Payton Tolle Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox Rookie Card Superstar
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $98
PASS · 24% under
Bowman 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Payton Tolle Chrome Auto #CPA-PT PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 13d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $435–450
PASS
Payton Tolle 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-PT Red Sox
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$286.48
modeled ~$15.27
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Payton Tolle Auto Purple Refractor /250 #CPA-PT
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$307.49
modeled ~$20.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Payton Tolle Rookie Auto 1st Bowman Aqua Lava Refractor /199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$354.00
modeled ~$56.55
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Payton Tolle, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.97Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.99Watch
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
Compared within $67.50–$141.75, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $155.79, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $155.79 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $286.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $286.48 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +112%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $354.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $354.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $307.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $307.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $407.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $407.49 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.7 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market29 listed · 29 eBay-verified · 23 not shown above
- Listings
- 29
- Lowest seen
- $135.00
- Median ask
- $296.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $135.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $286.48
29 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 23 cards
- $454.992024 Bowman Draft Payton Tolle 1st Chrome Prospect True Blue Auto PSA 9 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $701.992024 1st Bowman Draft PAYTON TOLLE Gold Shimmer Auto /50 RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Payton Tolle 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor Auto 1st Bowman /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Draft /250 Payton Tolle True Purple Refractor Auto 🧼🧼NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Payton Tolle Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractors 1st #/71!!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Payton Tolle 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor Auto 1st Bowman /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Payton Tolle Auto Purple Refractor /250 Red Sox #CPA-PTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman 1st Payton Tolle Auto Aqua Lava /199 #CPA-PT Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —PAYTON TOLLE 2024 Bowman Draft Aqua Lava Refractor Auto 1st Bowman 39/199 ⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $407.492024 Bowman Chrome Draft Payton Tolle 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto 99/150PASS
- $1009.502024 Bowman Chrome Payton Tolle 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 🔥 Red SoxPASS
- $155.98Payton Tolle 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto CPA-PT Boston Red SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Payton Tolle 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Payton Tolle 1st Bowman Auto Red Sox CPA-PTPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Payton Tolle 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Payton Tolle 1st Bowman Rookie Red Sox Sharp AutoPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Payton Tolle 1st Bowman Auto Red Sox CALL UP!PASS
- $135.00Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Payton Tolle Red Sox 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-PTPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Payton Tolle Red Sox Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-PTPASS
- $155.792024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Payton Tolle #CPA-PT Auto i1fPASS
- $157.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Payton Tolle #CPA-PT Auto 17f8PASS
- $157.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Payton Tolle #CPA-PT Auto 01w3PASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Payton Tolle 1st Bowman Rookie Auto CPA-PT Red SoxPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run