Mani Cedeno
SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #1331 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait
57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $6.99 against the $9.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Mani Cedeno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect… at $6.99. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Mani Cedeno scores 57 out of 100 (#1331 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $7–12 off 1 confirmed sale.
A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (30.2% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
Contact: well below
30.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.168 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 79% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
43 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 71% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $6.99
target is $7.99
Listed at your price — $7.99
target is $7.99
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (30.2% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MCE — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$7.49–12.49midpoint $9.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 9 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MCE
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$6.99delivered
Mani Cedeno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-MCE — $6.99 delivered, 30% under the $9.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".
Mani Cedeno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-MCE
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.99
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 30% under
Mani Cedeno 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MCE 1st Prospect AUTO New York Yankees
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$7.99
sold $9.99
LOTTERY · 20% under
2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Mani Cedeno Auto Orange Refractor 1st #/25 Yankees
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $13.49–52.45
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Mani Cedeno 1st Bowman Auto Green /99 NY Yankees
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $8.09–31.47
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Mega Box Green Mojo On Card Auto /99 BMA-MCO 1st
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $8.09–31.47
PASS
2025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECTS MANI CEDENO 1ST AUTO 55/100 MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR⚾
/100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 38d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$305.95
modeled $6.74–26.22
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.94 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +314%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $36.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $36.28 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.95 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +743%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
30.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level
.168 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
17.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
43 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 57% at his level · the result, not a skill
.761 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 57th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 57, a gap of +1. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 52th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.9 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
126
AVG
.228
OBP
.365
SLG
.396
OPS
.761
better than 57%
HR
3
SB
9
BB%
17.5
K%
30.2
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
- Listings
- 25
- Lowest seen
- $6.99
- Median ask
- $28.94
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $28.94
25 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 19 cards
- —Mani Cedeno 2025 1st Bowman Chrome HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 YankeesPASS
- —Mani Cedeno 2025 1st Bowman Chrome HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 1st YankeesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno CPA-MCE 1st Bowman True Blue Refractor Auto /150PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 YankeesPASS
- —MANI CEDENO 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 - YankeesPASS
- $36.28MANI CEDENO 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Autograph Auto /299 YankeesPASS
- $46.992025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Auto Speckle Refractor 1st Prospect /299PASS
- $28.942025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno #CPA-MCE Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectPASS
- $28.942025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno #CPA-MCE Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectPASS
- $39.992025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno 1st Prospect Refractor Auto 244/499 YankeesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Refractor Mani Cedeno 1st /499 Auto Autograph PASS
- $11.992025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno CPA-MCE 1st Auto New York YankeesLOTTERY
- $13.992025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Auto #CPA-MCE 1st Prospect New York YankeesLOTTERY
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Yankees 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-MCEPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - MANI CEDENO 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-MCE Yankees (RC)PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno 1st Bowman Auto CPA-MCE YankeesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno 1st Bowman Auto CPA-MCE YankeesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno 1st Bowman Base Auto #CPA-MCEPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Mani Cedeno Auto Orange Wave Refractor 1st #/25 Yankees PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run