Carlos Tavares
CF · FCL Nationals · Rookie · 20.0y · #1454 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
55 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
71 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome /299 * Speckle… at $313. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Carlos Tavares scores 55 out of 100 (#1454 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .228 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Contact: below average
28.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus-plus
.228 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
22.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 86% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (93th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 49 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.75–1.25midpoint $1.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 50 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CT
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 49 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Carlos Tavares (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Washington Nationals Free Ship at $20, 1900% over the $1 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
71 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 70 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 64 are under "The whole live market".
Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Orange Shimmer /25 #CPA-CT (DC) Nats
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$53.99
modeled $1.35–5.25
PASS
Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome Black Refractor Auto /10 1st Prospect RC
/10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$106.49
modeled $1.35–5.25
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Green Reptilian Auto /99 Nationals
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 51d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.45
modeled $0.81–3.15
LOTTERY
Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150 Nationals
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 87d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.99
modeled $0.68–2.63
LOTTERY
2025 Bowman Chrome Diamond Refractor Carlos Tavares 1st ROOKIE AUTO /100
/100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.68–2.63
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Mojo Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto /150 CPA-CT Nationals
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 46d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.68–2.63
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.70 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +162%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.27 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.93, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.93 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -21%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.82 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +63%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.45 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $53.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $53.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +228%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.49 live
- Scarcity
- 10 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +97%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
42
below average · better than 22% at his level
28.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level
.228 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
22.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
9 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill
.840 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -18. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 22th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.4 / 10
- hitting well — 0.840 OPS in 132 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
132
AVG
.218
OBP
.394
SLG
.446
OPS
.840
better than 74%
HR
5
SB
2
BB%
22.0
K%
28.8
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market71 listed · 71 eBay-verified · 64 not shown above
- Listings
- 71
- Lowest seen
- $5.99
- Median ask
- $9.91
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.93
71 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 64 cards
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST TRUE BLUE NATIONALS AUTO /150 Q1300PASS
- $9.822025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares Auto 1st Purple Refractor #/250 NationalsLOTTERY
- $8.93Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CT 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299LOTTERY
- $11.272025 Bowman Chrome Baseball CPA-CT CARLOS TAVARES Auto 1st Speckle /299 NationalLOTTERY
- $14.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares Auto 1st Prospect Speckle Refractor #/299LOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares #CPA-CT 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /299PASS
- $9.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Refractor Auto /499 Washington Nationals LOTTERY
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /299 * Speckle Refractor * PSA Carlos Tavares AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /99 * True Green Refractor * PSA Carlos Tavares AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-CT SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 AUTO PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Refractor /499PASS
- —Carlos Tavares #CPA-CT | 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499PASS
- $15.702025 Bowman Chrome Bowman 1st Carlos Tavares Auto /499 Nationals CPA-CT 🔥LOTTERY
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REFRACTOR A AUTO /499 PASS
- $5.992025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Nationals 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
- $6.252025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $6.502025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CT - NationalsLOTTERY
- $6.982025 1st Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares AUTOLOTTERY
- $6.98CARLOS TAVARES 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto WASHINGTON NATIONALSLOTTERY
- $7.00CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASE #CPA-CT AUTOLOTTERY
- $7.252025 Bowman Chrome | Carlos Tavares Auto | Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect AutographLOTTERY
- $7.462025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares #CPA-CT 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $7.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $8.25💎2025 Bowman Chrome CARLOS TAVARES 1st Prospect Auto Nationals #CPA-CTLOTTERY
- $8.982025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTLOTTERY
- $8.992025 Bowman Chrome - CARLOS TAVARES 1st Bowman (RC) AUTO #CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $8.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $9.002025 Bowman Chrome CARLOS TAVARES 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $9.99Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto NationalsLOTTERY
- $9.99Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto NationalsLOTTERY
- $9.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTLOTTERY
- $9.992025 Bowman Chrome CARLOS TAVARES 1st Prospect RC Rookie Auto NATIONALSLOTTERY
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CT Washington NationalsLOTTERY
- $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Carlos Tavares Auto Washington NationalsLOTTERY
- $13.702025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Prospect 1st AUTO AutographsLOTTERY
- $15.002025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Bowman 1st Auto NationalsLOTTERY
- $20.00Carlos Tavares (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Washington Nationals Free ShipLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Carlos Tavares #CPA-CTPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - CARLOS TAVARES 1st Bowman (RC) AUTO #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CT -NationalsPASS
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH NATIONALS AUTO PASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Carlos Tavares CPA-CT Rookie Auto NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Auto Prospect #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares #CPA-CT 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Nationals 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CT NationalsPASS
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- —CARLOS TAVARES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH NATIONALS AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Nationals 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CT Carlos Tavares Nationals 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares On Card Auto 1st Bowman #CPACT NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- $7.992025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CT NationalsLOTTERY
- $8.65CARLOS TAVARES 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-CTLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- —Carlos Tavares 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman Washington Nationals MLB RCPASS
- $6.982025 Bowman Chrome Carlos Tavares 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CT NationalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run