Deal Sniper

Jeferson Quero

C · Triple-A · 23.0y · #1532 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

54 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Jeferson Quero Auto… at $85.98. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jeferson Quero scores 54 out of 100 (#1532 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    3 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: above average

    20.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 61% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    C sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $21.18 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JQ Jeferson Quero Autographs Auto Brewers

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $21.18

    modeled ~$9.77

    LOTTERY

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Jeferson Quero Auto CPA-JQ Speckle Bowman 1st /299 Brewers

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $30.00

    modeled ~$17.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 117/499 Jeferson Quero #CPA-JQ Auto 0n5k

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $63.03

    modeled ~$12.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JQ Jeferson Quero Auto Green Refractor #/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $66.98

    modeled ~$29.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Jeferson Quero Auto /250 Purple Refractor CPA-JQ PSA 10

    /250 · PSA 10 · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $85.98

    modeled ~$79.14

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Jeferson Quero Blue HTA Choice Refractor 1st Bowman Auto /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $105.99

    modeled ~$11.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jeferson Quero, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $10.59–$22.24, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.03, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +198%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $30.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -52%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +253%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $66.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -37%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange Wave Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $204.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +205%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    20.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    50

    average · better than 51% at his level

    .150 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    8.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    3 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .736 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 43th percentile of the cohort, production at the 46th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 43 and his production sits at 46, a gap of -3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 42th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.5 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

417

AVG

.257

OBP

.329

SLG

.407

OPS

.736

better than 46%

HR

12

SB

2

BB%

8.6

K%

20.6

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .748 to .736 OPS.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.748.736

Power

.157.150

Walks

10.0%8.6%

Strikeouts

14.0%20.6%

Last season, 250 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
Listings
11

11 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$21.18
Median ask
$76.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$21.18
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$30.00

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 5 cards

  • $204.252021 Bowman Chrome Jeferson Quero Auto Orange Wave Refractor 1st #8/25 BrewersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.992021 Bowman Chrome Jeferson Quero 1st Bowman Atomic Refractor Auto /100 SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JEFERSON QUERO 2021 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-JQ BLUE /150 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Jeferson Quero 1st Bowman Yellow Refractor Auto /75 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2020 Jeferson Quero Milwaukee Brewers 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JQPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player