Breyson Guedez
CF · High-A · 18.0y · #813 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
60 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is BREYSON GUEDEZ 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Breyson Guedez scores 60 out of 100 (#813 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $21–25 off 8 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 85 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+5.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
Plate discipline: bottom of the scale
2.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.885 last season to .741 this one.
Power slipping
.131 last season to .100 this one.
Contact: plus
17.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 85% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Rookie to High-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
85 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$20.50–25midpoint $22.99
Confirmed· 8 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 2 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.
$20 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.
What would make this a buy
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".
BREYSON GUEDEZ 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-BG Athletics
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Player not there yet
—
sold $22–26
PASS · 20% under
BREYSON GUEDEZ 2026 BOWMAN CHROME GREEN LAVA 1ST BOWMAN #74/99 AUTO RC
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $77.33
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome - Breyson Guedez CPA-BG - 1st Auto Gold Shimmer Refractor /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$299.99
modeled $29.52–84
PASS
2026 Breyson Guedez 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Lava Auto /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 10d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $29.52–84
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Breyson Guedez 1st Auto Logofractor /35 CPA-BG SP
/35 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 75d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $29.52–84
PASS
Breyson Guedez 1st Bowman Green Reptilian Auto /99 2026 Bowman Chrome
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$99.98
modeled $22.14–63
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Breyson Guedez, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $49.99–$104.98, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $119.09, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $119.09 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.98 live
- Scarcity
- 125 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +157%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $99.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $99.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -67%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Reptilian Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $299.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +182%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $310.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $310.00 live
- Scarcity
- 35 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 85% at his level
17.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
.100 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level
2.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 58% at his level · the result, not a skill
.741 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill
+5.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 58th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 83% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 58, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 17th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.1 / 10
- young for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
85
AVG
.300
OBP
.341
SLG
.400
OPS
.741
better than 58%
HR
2
SB
0
BB%
2.4
K%
17.6
Is this player getting better?
Down from .885 to .741 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Rookie to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.885▼.741
Power
.131▼.100
Walks
6.7%▼2.4%
Strikeouts
9.5%▲17.6%
Last season, 210 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
- Listings
- 16
- Lowest seen
- $99.98
- Median ask
- $119.09
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $99.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $99.98
16 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 10 cards
- $106.49Breyson Guedez 2026 Bowman Chrome Green Refractor AUTO RC /99 1st A's Lava WavePASS
- $106.49Breyson Guedez 2026 Bowman Chrome Green Refractor AUTO RC /99 1st A's ReptilianPASS
- —Breyson Guedez 2026 1st Bowman Chrome True Blue Auto /150 Athletics 18 In A+ 🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Breyson Guedez Chrome Auto Variation Redemption Refractor 1st /499PASS
- $305.982026 Bowman Breyson Guedez 1st Chtome Auto Aqua Refractor /125 #CPA-BG RC SSPPASS
- $310.002026 Bowman - Breyson Guedez 1st Logofractor Refractor Auto /35 Athletics #CPABGPASS
- —💥Breyson Guedez💥2026 Bowman Chrome Auto True Red Refractor /5🔥PASS
- —2026 1st Bowman Auto Breyson Guedez Gold Shimmer /50 (CPA-BG) AthleticsPASS
- $119.092026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 37/299 Breyson Guedez Auto 14nsPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Breyson Guedez 1st Bowman #CPA-BG A'sPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run