Deal Sniper

Jesus Rodriguez

C · Triple-A · 24.0y · #1784 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

13 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman JESUS…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jesus Rodriguez scores 52 out of 100 (#1784 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .827 last season to .744 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: plus-plus

    11.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 93% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    19 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 66% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JR — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JR

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $11.49 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

13 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 13 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 7 are under "The whole live market".

  • Jesus Rodriguez 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JR 1st AUTO New York Yankees

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 14d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.49

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez 1st Auto #CPA-JR Yankees Giants

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 90d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.00

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Jesus Rodriguez Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-JR Yankees

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.38

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez Auto 1st Bowman Giants

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 97d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $20.90

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jesus Rodriguez - 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 1st Bowman PSA 9

    /499 · PSA 9 · listed 118d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.99

    modeled ~$32.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Jesus Rodriguez 36/99 Green Shimmer 1st Auto #CPA-JR Giants Rookie

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $81.99

    modeled ~$29.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $11.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $256.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $256.25 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2130%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $81.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $81.99 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    11.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    .129 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    50

    average · better than 50% at his level

    10.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    19 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    49

    average · better than 47% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .744 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 63th percentile of the cohort, production at the 47th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 63 and his production sits at 47, a gap of +16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 72th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

225

AVG

.268

OBP

.347

SLG

.397

OPS

.744

better than 47%

HR

5

SB

7

BB%

10.7

K%

11.6

Is this player getting better?

Down from .827 to .744 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.827▼.744

Power

.102▲.129

Walks

12.0%▼10.7%

Strikeouts

13.5%▼11.6%

Last season, 535 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market13 listed · 13 eBay-verified · 7 not shown above
Listings
13

13 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$11.49
Median ask
$20.90
Cheapest 1st auto
$11.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$35.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 7 cards

  • $256.252024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez Mojo 1st Bowman Auto 123/150 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman JESUS RODRIGUEZ Auto /150 PSA 9 YANKEES GC0653NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez 1st RC Auto Speckle Refractor /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Jesus Rodriguez Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-JR YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome- Jesus Rodriguez 1st Auto #CPA-JR San Francisco GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez 1st Bowman Red Wave Auto /5 #CPA-JRNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Jesus Rodriguez CPA-JR 1st Bowman RC Auto YankeesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now