Deal Sniper

Andrew Tess

C · Delmarva Shorebirds · Low-A · 20.0y · #1927 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

50 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Priced fairly

His best base card asks $7.85, inside the $5–8 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Bowman…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, priced about right.

Andrew Tess scores 50 out of 100 (#1927 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 20 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    40.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .177 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 77% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    15.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 74% at his level.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    20 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (40.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AT — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AT

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Chrome Prospects Auto Blue X-Fractor 003/150 at $40, 281% over the $10.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/150 at or under $10.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

57 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 57 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 51 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Andrew Tess Green 62/99 #CPA-AT

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $9–14.40

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-AT Orioles

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Player not there yet

    Data staleLast confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $5–8

    PASS · 23% under

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Prospect Auto Orioles

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 96d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $5–8

    PASS · 8% under

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess True Orange 1st Auto /25 Orioles Color Match

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $15–24

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman CHrome 1st Auto Andrew Tess Gold Lava Refractor #CPA-AT /50 Orioles

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $12–19.20

    PASS

  • Andrew Tess 2026 Bowman Chrome Yellow Xfractor Refractor Auto /75 1st Prospect

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 16d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $36.49

    modeled $10–16

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $40.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +410%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $76.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +90%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -52%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    40.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    .177 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    15.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    30 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .762 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 68th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 68, a gap of -11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 30th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

20

AVG

.235

OBP

.350

SLG

.412

OPS

.762

better than 68%

HR

1

SB

1

BB%

15.0

K%

40.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market57 listed · 57 eBay-verified · 51 not shown above
Listings
57

57 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.85
Median ask
$10.90
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.85
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$36.49

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 51 cards

  • ​2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Yellow Geometric Auto /75 #CPA-AT...PASS
  • Andrew Tess 2026 Bowman 1st Green Shimmer Chrome Auto /99PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st True Green Refractor Auto /99 CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Andrew Tess /125PASS
  • $40.002026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Chrome Prospects Auto Blue X-Fractor 003/150PASS
  • $76.00ANDREW TESS 2026 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR 07/99 BALTIMORE ORIOLESPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Auto /99 True Green Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • $7.852026 Bowman Chrome - Andrew Tess #CPA-AT - 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects AutoPASS
  • $8.982026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto ANDREW TESS #CPA-AT Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • $9.002026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-AT Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • $9.002026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Chrome Auto Autograph Baltimore Orioles RCPASS
  • $9.24ANDREW TESS 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-ATPASS
  • $9.35Andrew Tess 2026 Bowman Chrome #CPA-AT 1st Prospect AutoPASS
  • $10.00Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess - 1st Bowman Auto ORIOLES CPA-ATPASS
  • $10.652026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Prospect Auto Orioles #CPA-ATPASS
  • $10.902026 Bowman ANDREW TESS 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-AT Orioles FREE SHIPPINGPASS
  • $10.992026 Bowman Andrew Tess Chrome On Card Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • $11.502026 Bowman Andrew Tess Chrome On Card Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • $11.942026 1st Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess AutoPASS
  • $11.992026 Bowman Chrome Baseball Rookie RC 1st Issue SP AUTO Andrew Tess (Baltimore)PASS
  • $16.48Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess - 1st Bowman 🔥 Auto ORIOLES CPA-ATPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Andrew Tess Baltimore Orioles T0PASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Auto CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • 2026 BOWMAN CHROME ANDREW TESS 1ST ROOKIE AUTO BALTIMORE ORIOLESPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-AT Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Andrew Tess Auto CPA-AT Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman - Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-AT Orioles 🟠⚫️PASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman 1st Bowman Rookie Andrew Tess Auto Chrome #CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess Auto #CPA-AT Prospect 🌟⚾ Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • ANDREW TESS 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO BASEBALL #CPA-AT ORIOLESPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto 1st Andrew Tess #CPA-AT (RC, AU) OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman | Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | Baltimore Orioles ProspectPASS
  • 2026 Bowman | Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | Baltimore Orioles ProspectPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-AT Orioles On CardPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess - 1st Bowman 🔥 Auto ORIOLES CPA-ATPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Andrew Tess #CPA-AT Baltimore Orioles AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Prospect Auto OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Andrew Tess Prospect Autograph Auto Orioles NMPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess #CPA-AT 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Baltimore Orioles RR2PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Prospect Auto OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Prospect Auto Baltimore Orioles #CPA-ATPASS
  • 2026 Bowman #CPA-AT Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Orioles (RC)PASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Andrew Tess Baltimore Orioles Auto On Card #CPA-AT 2025PASS
  • ANDREW TESS | 2026 Bowman 1st Bowman Chrome On-Card Auto - Baltimore OriolesPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Auto CPA-AT OriolesPASS
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Andrew Tess CPA-AT Auto OriolesPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Andrew Tess 1st Bowman Chrome AutoPASS
  • 2026 Andrew Tess Chrome Prospects Auto 1st Bowman Orioles #CPA-AT 🔥PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome #CPA-AT Andrew Tess Baltimore Orioles 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Prospects Andrew Tess Black White Shimmer Red Ink Auto 1st BowmanPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player