Marek Houston
SS · Double-A · 22.0y · #419 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Priced fairly
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $35.04, inside the $31–36 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Marek Houston #CPA-MHO Chrome… at $44.94. Needs a $19 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, priced about right.
Marek Houston scores 67 out of 100 (#419 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $31–36 off 15 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
OPS slipping
.868 last season to .829 this one.
Speed: plus-plus
69 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 95% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to Double-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
21.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 72% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $30.80
target is $34.32
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MHO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$31–36midpoint $33.00
Confirmed· 15 salesmost recent 2026-08-26 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MHO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Chrome - 1st Auto # CPA-MHO, Yellow X-Fractor, Marek Houston /75 at $257, 63% over the $158 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/75 at or under $158 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $19 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2026 Bowman Marek Houston #CPA-MHO Chrome… at or under $26.40 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".
2026 Bowman #BPA-MH 1st Bowman Marek Houston Purple Boarder Auto /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$30.80
modeled $40.30–46.80
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Marek Houston Auto Prospect 21/25 Orange X Fractor HS67
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$647.70
modeled $55.80–151
PASS
Marek Houston 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Orange Wave Refractor 4/25 | Twins
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $55.80–151
PASS
Marek Houston 2026 Bowman Chrome Orange Mojo Refractor /25 Auto Purple /250 1st
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $55.80–151
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Marek Houston 1st Bowman Logofractor Auto 7/35 Twins
/35 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $255
PASS
Marek Houston 2026 Bowman #CPA-MHO Gold Lava Refractor Chrome 1st RC Auto /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $255
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
2 listings watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $35.04 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $126.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $126.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +262%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $30.80, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $30.80 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -76%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $180.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $180.25 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +485%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $256.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $256.56 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1305.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1305.95 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +409%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $647.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $647.70 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
21.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
.169 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
10.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
69 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
59
plus · better than 81% at his level · the result, not a skill
.829 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 71th percentile of the cohort, production at the 81th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 71 and his production sits at 81, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 32th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.5 / 10
- already at Double-A
- hitting well — 0.829 OPS in 218 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
218
AVG
.291
OBP
.369
SLG
.460
OPS
.829
better than 81%
HR
6
SB
25
BB%
10.1
K%
21.1
Is this player getting better?
Down from .868 to .829 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.868▼.829
Power
.074▲.169
Walks
8.5%▲10.1%
Strikeouts
22.0%→21.1%
Last season, 59 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
- Listings
- 28
- Lowest seen
- $30.80
- Median ask
- $218.41
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $44.94
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $126.98
28 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 22 cards
- $256.562026 Bowman Chrome - 1st Auto # CPA-MHO, Yellow X-Fractor, Marek Houston /75PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome - 1st Auto # CPA-MHO, Yellow X-Fractor, Marek Houston 36/75PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Marek Houston Yellow - Certified Auto 16/75 CPA-MHOPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Marek Houston True Yellow Refractor 1st Auto /75 TwinsPASS
- $180.252026 Bowman Chrome Marek Houston 1st Green Shimmer Auto /99 #CPA-MHO TwinsPASS
- —Marek Houston 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Green Lava Auto #CPA-MHO /99 TwinsPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO #/99 MAREK HOUSTON #CPA-MHO Minnesota TwinsPASS
- —Marek Houston 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1st Auto HTA Choice /150 Redemption UnusedPASS
- —2026 Bowman Marek Houston Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #/250 TwinsPASS
- $126.982026 Bowman Chrome 1st Marek Houston Refractor Auto Autograph #/499 ARENA CLUB 9PASS
- —Marek Houston 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto #/499 - Factory SealedPASS
- $35.04MAREK HOUSTON 2026 TOPPS BOWMAN 1ST BASE ROOKIE AUTO #BPA-MH MINNESOTA TWINSPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Chrome Marek Houston Twins Gold Mojo Refractor Auto BMA-MH /50PASS
- $1305.952026 Bowman 1st Marek Houston #/50 Gold Refractor Auto Twins 🔥 🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Marek Houston 1st Bowman Auto Green Reptilian /99 PASS
- —2026 Bowman #CPA-MHO Marek Houston 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499PASS
- $605.99Marek Houston 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Grass /99 PSA 10 Dodgers NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1505.99Marek Houston 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Orange Wave 16/25 PSA 10 Twins NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $44.942026 Bowman Marek Houston #CPA-MHO Chrome Auto 1st ProspectPASS
- —2026 Bowman Marek Houston Chrome Prospect Auto 1st BowmanPASS
- —Marek Houston - 2026 Bowman 1st - Prospect/Rookie - Auto - Paper - BPAMH - TwinsPASS
- —Marek Houston - 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st - Prospect/Rookie - Auto - TwinsPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run