Jordan Groshans
SS · Double-A · 26.0y · #2034 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
50 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
57 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jordan Groshans scores 50 out of 100 (#2034 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .287 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 94% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -2.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 24% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than only 24% of the players there.
Speed: well below
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus-plus
.287 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 94% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
19.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 77% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Age for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 24% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2018 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2018 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-JG
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO RC 2018 Jordan Groshans Blue Jays at $10.48, 908% over the $1.04 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.04 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
57 cards of his are listed, 3 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 54 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 48 are under "The whole live market".
2018 JORDAN GROSHANS 1st Bowman Chrome GREEN REFRACTOR Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 #/99
/99 · BGS 9.5 · listed 5d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$22.70
modeled $9–10.80
LOTTERY
Jordan Groshans 2018 Auto /499 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor #CDA-JG Blue Jays
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 326d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$15.27
LOTTERY
2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 35/499 Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 14zh
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$11.56
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
(2) 2018 Bowman Chrome Jordan Groshans 1st Rookie Refractor Auto #d /499 + Base
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 216d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.00
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
JORDAN GROSHANS 2018 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 437/499 #CDA-JG
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 425d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.99
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
Jordan Groshans 2018 Bowman Chrome Draft Chrome Auto #CDAJG PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 497d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$13.99
modeled ~$30.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.02 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- BlueTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -17%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.56 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +132%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +43%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.04 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $285.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $285.94 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1402%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
29 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level
19.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level
.287 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 35% at his level
8.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level · the result, not a skill
.897 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 89th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 93% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 89, a gap of -33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 7th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
- hitting well — 0.897 OPS in 408 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
408
AVG
.272
OBP
.338
SLG
.559
OPS
.897
better than 89%
HR
26
SB
0
BB%
8.6
K%
19.9
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .728 up to .897 OPS.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.728▲.897
Power
.077▲.287
Walks
8.8%→8.6%
Strikeouts
14.0%▲19.9%
Last season, 250 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market57 listed · 57 eBay-verified · 48 not shown above
- Listings
- 57
- Lowest seen
- $4.99
- Median ask
- $18.49
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $4.99
57 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 48 cards
- $16.252018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans Refractor Auto 287/499 1st ChromeLOTTERY
- $16.252018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans Refractor Auto 387/499 1st ChromeLOTTERY
- $16.252018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans Refractor Auto 072/499 1st ChromeLOTTERY
- $16.50Jordan Groshans 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC 69/150 Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $16.50Jordan Groshans 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC 36/250 Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $16.502018 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-JG Jordan Groshans 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250LOTTERY
- $17.95Jordan Groshans Rookie 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Auto #CDAJG PSA 9LOTTERY
- $17.95Jordan Groshans Card 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome DP Auto Refractor #CDAJG PSA 9LOTTERY
- $18.492018 Bowman Chrome Jordan Groshans Draft Picks Auto PSA 9!!🔥🔥LOTTERY
- $19.042018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor /75 Jordan Groshans Auto 0f5tLOTTERY
- $19.472018 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT JORDAN GROSHANS AUTO BGS 9 10 TORONTO BLUE JAYSLOTTERY
- $19.492018 Bowman Chrome Draft - Jordan Groshans CDA-JG 1st Prospect Auto PSA - 9 MINTLOTTERY
- $19.782018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 171/499 Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 4f5LOTTERY
- $20.702018 JORDAN GROSHANS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC - PSA 10 - Gem MintLOTTERY
- $21.002018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 YankeesLOTTERY
- $24.222018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 3b3LOTTERY
- $24.482018 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT JORDAN GROSHANS AUTO 290/499 BGS 9 10 REFRACTORLOTTERY
- $24.702018 JORDAN GROSHANS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC - PSA 10 - Gem MintLOTTERY
- $24.792018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Jordan Groshans BGS 9 MINT Auto 5q4LOTTERY
- $24.792018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Jordan Groshans BGS 9 MINT Auto 5q4LOTTERY
- $29.002018 JORDAN GROSHANS 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto RC - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.392018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Jordan Groshans PSA 9 MINT Auto 1p3wNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.542018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Jordan Groshans PSA 9 Auto 0l8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.742018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans PROSPECT AUTO #CDAJG PSA 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $37.992018 BOWMAN CHROME JORDAN GROSHANS RC AUTO AUTOGRAPH 1ST ROOKIE PSA 10 GEM MINT!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $38.592018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Jordan Groshans PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 0f5tNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $285.94Jordan Groshans SUPERFRACTOR AUTO 1/1 2020 Bowman Chrome Top 100NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $999.992018 BOWMAN CHROME JORDAN GROSHANS SUPERFRACTOR & RED AUTO AUTOGRAPH PSA 10!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2018 Bowman 1st Draft Chrome Auto #CDA-JG Jordan Groshans PSA 9 MINT TOR MIANEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jordan Groshans 2018 Bowman Chrome Draft Chrome Auto #CDAJG PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2018 Bowman Chrome Jordan Groshans/499 Refractor Auto 1st PSA 9 #CDA-JGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG PSA 9 MINT AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jordan Groshans 2018 Bowman Draft #CDA-JG 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.002018 Bowman Chrome Jordan Groshans Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st PSA 9 MintPASS
- $5.992018 Bowman Draft Jordan Groshans Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-JG Blue JaysLOTTERY
- $8.252018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Groshans Auto 1st Chrome QtyLOTTERY
- $10.481st Bowman Chrome AUTO RC 2018 Jordan Groshans Blue JaysLOTTERY
- —2018 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto - Jordan Groshans - RC #CDA-JG Jays - MarlinsPASS
- —2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Autographs Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG 1st AutoPASS
- $7.022018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 0a3LOTTERY
- $7.022018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto tw0LOTTERY
- $7.402018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 12g7LOTTERY
- $7.432018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto jc3LOTTERY
- $7.482018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 2d9LOTTERY
- $7.542018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 0l44LOTTERY
- $7.832018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordan Groshans #CDA-JG Auto 6fsLOTTERY
- $32.352018 JORDAN GROSHANS 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto RC - BGS 9.5/10 - Gem MintPASS
- $42.042018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor Jordan Groshans BGS 9.5 Auto 3b3PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run