Jacob Wilson
SS · Las Vegas Aviators · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2037 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
49 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best Refractor asks $64.99, over the $53 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, expensive market.
Jacob Wilson scores 49 out of 100 (#2037 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 15 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Power: below average
.083 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: elite
0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
13.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
15 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JWI — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JWI
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Jacob Wilson RC Patch Auto 1/1 Superfractor at $4,505, 8400% over the $53 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
1/1 at or under $53 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
24 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 23 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 17 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rookie RC PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 35d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$278.49
sold $188
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Rookie RC PSA 10 Sh
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$305.99
sold $188
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jacob Wilson Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9 Mint
/250 · PSA 9 · listed 189d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$355.95
modeled ~$24.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO JACOB WILSON CHR PROSPECT /99 -PSA 9 MINT
/99 · PSA 9 · auction · listed 4d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$1200.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st Bowman Chrome RC Auto PSA 9 Auto 10
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 11d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$22.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Jacob Wilson 2023 Bowman 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 PSA 9 Athletics RC
/150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 75d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jacob Wilson, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
Compared within $32.49–$68.24, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $64.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $64.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -79%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $236.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $236.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +265%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $321.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $321.48 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4509.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4509.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1303%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4505.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4505.20 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
14 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 56 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level
0.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level
.083 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
13.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level · the result, not a skill
.583 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 17th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 17, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
15
AVG
.167
OBP
.333
SLG
.250
OPS
.583
better than 17%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
13.3
K%
0.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 17 not shown above
- Listings
- 24
- Lowest seen
- $64.99
- Median ask
- $345.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $64.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $355.95
24 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 17 cards
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Jacob Wilson 1st Bowman Auto /499 PSA 9 / 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JACOB WILSON 2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST REFRACTOR AUTO /499 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman 2023 Draft Jacob Wilson A’s Chrome Prospect Auto #CDA-JWI /199 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto 036/250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $345.002023 Bowman Chrome Draft Jacob Wilson Auto PSA 10 Oakland Athletics AutographPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson CDA-JWI Chrome Prospect Auto Purple /250 PSA 10PASS
- $64.992024 Bowman Chrome My 1st Bowman Jacob Wilson Auto GTP #M1B-40 Rookie RefractorPASS
- $304.99Jacob Wilson - 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Rookie RC Card #CDA-JWIPASS
- $4505.202025 Bowman Chrome Jacob Wilson RC Patch Auto 1/1 SuperfractorPASS
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Jacob Wilson 1st Bowman RC Auto Athletics CDA-JWIPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson 1st Chrome Auto AthleticsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Jacob Wilson 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $321.48Jacob Wilson 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-JWI Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150PASS
- $236.982023 Bowman Chrome Jacob Wilson Aqua Lava Refractor Rookie Card RC Auto /199 MLBPASS
- $506.992023 Bowman Draft JACOB WILSON Purple Refractor Auto 1st RC /250 PSA 10PASS
- $4505.172023 Bowman Draft JACOB WILSON Rookie 1st Auto Bowman Draft Red Wave /5 PSA 10 PASS
- $4509.002023 1st Bowman Draft Jacob Wilson Orange Auto /25PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run