Bernard Moon
SS · Daytona Tortugas · Low-A · 21.0y · #2057 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
49 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
45 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Prospect 1st… at $21.62. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Bernard Moon scores 49 out of 100 (#2057 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .160 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: above average
.160 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
22.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 65% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
OPS improving
.689 last season to .773 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BMO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 10 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BMO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $5.74 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
45 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 45 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 39 are under "The whole live market".
BERNARD MOON 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-BMO
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 377d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.74
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bernard Moon #CPA-BMO
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 66d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.78
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO Prospect AUTO 1st Bowman RC Cinci Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$6.49
modeled ~$9.32
LOTTERY
Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO Prospect AUTO 1st Bowman RC Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$6.49
modeled ~$9.32
LOTTERY
🔥2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon 1st Bowman⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO!🔥FREE SH!🔥🔥
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 218d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.72
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Base On Card Auto 1ST Rookie REDS #CAP-BMO
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 481d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.75
modeled ~$9.32
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.74 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.11, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.11 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
22.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
.160 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
51
average · better than 53% at his level
12.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
14 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level · the result, not a skill
.773 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 71th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 71, a gap of -12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 29th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.1 / 10
- old for Low-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
435
AVG
.253
OBP
.360
SLG
.413
OPS
.773
better than 71%
HR
10
SB
10
BB%
12.0
K%
22.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .689 up to .773 OPS.
Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.689▲.773
Power
.131▲.160
Walks
8.6%▲12.0%
Strikeouts
20.0%▲22.3%
Last season, 451 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market45 listed · 45 eBay-verified · 39 not shown above
- Listings
- 45
- Lowest seen
- $5.74
- Median ask
- $9.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.74
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.11
45 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 39 cards
- $6.77Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Prospect 1st Chrome Auto Reds CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $7.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bernard Moon Rookie Prospect Auto RedsLOTTERY
- $7.99Bernard Moon 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO REDSLOTTERY
- $8.952024 Bowman Chrome BERNARD MOON 1st Bowman On Card Auto #CPA-BMO RedsLOTTERY
- $9.112024 BOWMAN CHROME BERNARD MOON RC AUTO REFRACTOR #D 343/499 REDS 1STLOTTERY
- $9.32Bernard Moon #CPA-BMO 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto RedsLOTTERY
- $9.32Bernard Moon #CPA-BMO 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto RedsLOTTERY
- $9.502024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Rookie 1st Auto Cincinnati RedsLOTTERY
- $9.76Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO 1st Bowman Auto - Cincinnati Reds LOTTERY
- $9.99Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto 1st #CPA-BMO Cincinnati RedsLOTTERY
- $9.992024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bernard Moon Auto Cincinnati Reds #CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $11.50Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st On-Card Auto RC Refractor Rookie /499LOTTERY
- $12.00Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Bowman Reds #CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $13.042024 Bowman Chrome- Bernard Moon 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $13.99BERNARD MOON 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $14.952024 BOWMAN CHROME BERNARD MOON 1ST BOWMAN AUTO CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- $16.002024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bernard Moon #CPA-BMO Blue Refractor /150LOTTERY
- $16.482024 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Refractor Auto /499 Cincinnati Reds BERNARD MOONLOTTERY
- $16.66Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO 1st Bowman Auto - Cincinnati Reds LOTTERY
- $21.252024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Bowman 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $21.62Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Prospect 1st Chrome Auto Reds CPA-BMOLOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon 1st Year Purple Refractor Auto #/250!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO Prospect AUTO 1st Bowman RC Cinci RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bernard Moon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO Prospect AUTO 1st Bowman RC RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Prospects Autographs Auto #CPA-BMO 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Bernard Moon 1st Auto #CPA-BMONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Auto 1st #CPA-BMO Cincy RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome BERNARD MOON Auto ⚡️ Cincinnati Reds Prospect #CPA-BMONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bernard Moon - 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO 🔥 CHROME AUTO 🔥 Reds V74NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Auto #CPA-BMO 1st Bowman Prospect RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Bernard Moon 1st Auto Refractor /499 - #CPA-BMONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Bernard Moon #CPA-BMO 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BMO Bernard Moon 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon Auto 1st #CPA-BMO RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bernard Moon Auto Cincinnati Reds #CPA-BMONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-BMO RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bernard Moon Auto Cincinnati Reds #CPA-BMONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon 1st Chrome Prospect Auto HTA Choice # /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Bernard Moon 1st Chrome Prospect Auto HTA # /299 ShimerNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run