Deal Sniper

John Gil

SS · Double-A · 20.0y · #456 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

66 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects John Gil 1st… at $29.98. Needs a $13 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

John Gil scores 66 out of 100 (#456 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $20–33 off 2 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 82 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .112 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Speed: plus-plus

    73 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 96% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: above average

    20.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 74% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    82 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$19.80–33midpoint $22.00

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 4 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st John Gil Prospect Auto Purple Refractor #049/250 C115 at $156, 218% over the $49.11 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/250 at or under $49.11 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $13 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects John Gil 1st… at or under $17.60 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".

  • John Gil 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Auto /50 Braves CPA-JG

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 62d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $28.51–111

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • John Gil 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JG Mini Diamond Refractor 1st RC Auto 30/100

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 61d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $305.99

    modeled $17.82–69.30

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome JOHN GIL #CPA-JG 1st AUTO CHOICE MOJO Refractor /150 Braves

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $17.82–69.30

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st John Gil Prospect Auto Purple Refractor #049/250 C115

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $155.99

    sold $49.11

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome John Gil Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #/250 Braves

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $49.11

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 John Gil 1st Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Auto PSA 10 /299 ATL BAVES RC

    /299 · PSA 10 · listed 28d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $297.99

    modeled ~$787.77

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $29.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $29.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $155.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $155.99 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +420%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mini Diamond Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $305.99 live
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +96%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 55 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    20.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    45

    below average · better than 32% at his level

    .112 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    9.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    73 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 72% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .786 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 63th percentile of the cohort, production at the 72th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 63 and his production sits at 72, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.8 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • young for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

82

AVG

.296

OBP

.378

SLG

.408

OPS

.786

better than 72%

HR

1

SB

10

BB%

9.8

K%

20.7

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .730 to .786 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.730▲.786

Power

.120→.112

Walks

12.3%▼9.8%

Strikeouts

13.9%▲20.7%

Last season, 462 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
Listings
14

14 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$29.98
Median ask
$155.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$29.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$155.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 8 cards

  • $305.952025 Bowman Chrome 1st John Gil Auto PSA 10 Braves 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome John Gil 1st Bowman Auto True Green Refractor /99 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman 1st John Gil Auto CPA-JG Gold Mini-Diamond /50 Auto RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —John Gil 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JG 1st Auto Green Refractor /99 PSA 10 - BravesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.982025 Bowman Chrome Prospects John Gil 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-JG Atlanta BravesPASS
  • $34.222025 Bowman Chrome Prospects John Gil 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-JG Atlanta BravesPASS
  • $36.742025 Bowman Chrome John Gil #CPA-JB 1st Bowman AUTO! BRAVES!PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects John Gil 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-JG Atlanta BravesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now