Josue Briceño
C · Triple-A · 21.0y · #2230 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $94.50 against the $99.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Josue Briceno…. Priced above value.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Josue Briceño scores 47 out of 100 (#2230 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $41–71 off 2 confirmed sales.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
Contact: well below
34.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus
16.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 88% at his level.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (20th percentile); C sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
43 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (34.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$40.50–71.49midpoint $45.00
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 6 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$94.50delivered
2025 Bowman Chrome JOSUE BRICENO Detroit Tigers Prospect 1st Auto Mint PSA 9 — $94.50 delivered, 6% under the $99.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
39 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 39 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 33 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome JOSUE BRICENO Detroit Tigers Prospect 1st Auto Mint PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$94.50
sold $99.99
PASS · 6% under
Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Orange Shimmer Refractor /25–PSA 9
/25 · PSA 9 · listed 16d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1009.98
modeled $300
PASS
Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Black Auto /10 Detroit Tigers
/10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $72.90–300
PASS
Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Sapphire Chrome 1st Auto #CPS-JB Green /99 PSA 9
/99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $150
PASS
Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st GOLD Mega Box Auto Autograph Tigers 13/50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 173d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$350.00
modeled $58.32–240
PASS
Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Megabox Auto Autograph RC Tigers 20/50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 316d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$351.00
modeled $58.32–240
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Josue Briceño, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $9.99–$20.99, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $75.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $75.25 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.48 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +80%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $145.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $145.95 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +8%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $281.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $281.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +93%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $282.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $282.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $356.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $356.08 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $256.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $256.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $350.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $350.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
19 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
37
well below · better than 10% at his level
34.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level
.083 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level
16.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 14% at his level · the result, not a skill
.552 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill
+5.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 14th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 84% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 14, a gap of +23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 84th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
43
AVG
.167
OBP
.302
SLG
.250
OPS
.552
better than 14%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
16.3
K%
34.9
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 33 not shown above
- Listings
- 39
- Lowest seen
- $19.99
- Median ask
- $263.48
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $75.25
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $135.48
39 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 33 cards
- $256.002025 Bowman Chrome True Green Auto 1st Josue Briceno Tigers #CPA-JB /99PASS
- $356.082025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Josue Briceno Green 1st Auto /99 TigersPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno Tigers CPA-JB 1st /99 AutoPASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospects Josue Briceno Green #/99 CPA-JBPASS
- $155.992025 Bowman Josue Briceno 1st Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Auto #/299 PSA 9PASS
- $364.002025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Josue Briceno Green 1st Auto /99 TigersPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno 1st Auto Blue X-Fractor /150 Tigers CPA-JBPASS
- —Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CDA-JB - PSA 9 MintPASS
- $281.002025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SAPPHIRE JOSUE BRICENO AUTO /199 #CPS-JBPASS
- $135.482025 Bowman | Josue Briceno | 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /299 | TigersPASS
- $145.952025 Josue Briceno Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor /299 🔥PASS
- $263.482025 Bowman - Josue Briceno 🔥 #CPA-JB 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9PASS
- $281.002025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno Green Lava Auto /99 PSA 9 #CPA-JBPASS
- —2025 Bowman - JOSUE BRICENO (Bowman 1st) - Green Shimmer Auto /99 - #CPA-JBPASS
- $282.982025 Bowman - Josue Briceno 🔥1st Blue X-Fractor Auto /150 🔥PASS
- $19.992025 Bowman Josue Briceno Auto 1st PSA AuthenticLOTTERY
- $19.992025 Bowman Josue Briceno Auto 1st PSA AuthenticLOTTERY
- $399.002025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Josue Briceno Speckle Refractor /299 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $807.50Josue Briceno 1st Auto 2025 Bowman Gold Shimmer /50 - PSA 10 GEM MT TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2004.25Josue Briceno PSA 10 2025 Bowman Sapphire Orange 1st Auto /25 Detroit TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josue Briceno 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JB Refractor /499 PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome JOSUE BRICENO 1st PROSPECT AUTO BLUE REFRACTOR /150 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josue Briceno Auto 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospects Auto #BP-13 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno 1st Purple Auto /250 PSA 10 Auto 10 TigersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno PSA 10 1st Auto #CPAJB Detroit Tigers First RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Josue Briceno Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1st SPECKLE AUTO REFRACTOR JOSUE BRICENO /299 SGC 10/9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $75.252025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno 1st Base Auto #CPA-JB TigersPASS
- $76.502025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Josue Briceno Tigers #CPA-JBPASS
- $79.942025 Bowman Chrome Josue Briceno 1st Auto #CPA-JB Detroit TigersPASS
- $96.992025 Bowman Josue Briceno Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-JB TigersPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Josue Briceno Tigers #CPA-JBPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Josue Briceno Tigers #CPA-JBPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run