Aiva Arquette
SS · Double-A · 22.0y · #239 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
72 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /150 asks $107 against the $118 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Topps 2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Miami…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Aiva Arquette scores 72 out of 100 (#239 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $60–100 off 1 confirmed sale.
A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
6.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Contact: plus
18.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 83% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 76/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$59.96–99.94midpoint $79.95
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AA
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
/150$106.99delivered
2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 Marlins — $107 delivered, 9% under the $118 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 Marlins
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$106.99
sold $118
PASS · 9% under
2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette 1st Chrome Orange Refractor Auto /25 SEALED
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1999.99
modeled $108–420
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st Auto Green Shimmer Refractor /99 Marlins
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 43d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $150
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome- 1st Bowman Auto Variation Green Shimmer Aiva Arquette RC /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 68d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $64.76–252
PASS
2026 1st Bowman AIVA ARQUETTE Green Wave Chrome Auto /99 Marlins B1139
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 53d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $64.76–252
PASS
2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto Aqua Refractor 1st Prospect #/125 Marlins
/125 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 44d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$332.00
sold $170
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Aiva Arquette, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $53.49–$112.34, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $125.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $125.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- AquaTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $284.37, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $284.37 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +128%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $139.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $139.94 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -54%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $205.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $205.49 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +47%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $332.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $332.00 live
- Scarcity
- 125 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $209.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $209.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -49%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $267.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $267.98 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +151%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $276.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $276.04 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $349.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $349.99 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1999.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1999.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +471%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
18.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
59
plus · better than 81% at his level
.209 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level
6.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level
34 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level · the result, not a skill
.761 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 65th percentile of the cohort, production at the 66th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 65 and his production sits at 66, a gap of -1. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 46th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.5 / 10
- already at Double-A
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
159
AVG
.250
OBP
.302
SLG
.459
OPS
.761
better than 66%
HR
9
SB
9
BB%
6.3
K%
18.2
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .673 to .761 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.673▲.761
Power
.081▲.209
Walks
14.5%▼6.3%
Strikeouts
23.1%▼18.2%
Last season, 117 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $106.99
- Median ask
- $276.04
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $106.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $106.99
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- —Aiva Arquette 2026 Bowman Chrome HTA Choice Refractor 1st RC Auto /150PASS
- $209.992026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto Blue X-Fractor 1st #/150 MarlinsPASS
- —Aiva Arquette 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto True Blue Refractor /150 CardPASS
- —2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto Mini-Diamond Refractor 1st #/100 MarlinsPASS
- —2026 AIVA ARQUETTE BOWMAN 1ST CHROME MINI DIAMOND AUTO /100 MARLINS SEALEDPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Aiva Arquette Auto True Aqua Refractor #37/125 Sealed 📈PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st Auto PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 Marlins SEALEDPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Marlins #CPA-AAPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #76/199 MarlinsPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #/199 MarlinsPASS
- —2026 Bowman Sapphire Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #/199 MarlinsPASS
- $205.492026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor /299 1st Marlins CPA-AAPASS
- $139.942026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette Refractor 1st Auto /499 Miami Marlins #CPA-AAPASS
- —2026 Bowman AIVA ARQUETTE 1st Chrome Auto Variation REFRACTOR Parallel /499PASS
- $284.372026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st Bowman Auto Aqua Variation I RedemptionPASS
- $352.452026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st Bowman Auto Aqua RedemptionPASS
- $267.982026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor 50/100 Aiva Arquette Auto 6m7PASS
- $276.042026 Bowman Aiva Arquette True Green Auto /99 Redemption Marlins 1st BowmanPASS
- —2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette 1st Bowman True Green Auto 34/99 Topps Sealed MarlinsPASS
- —2026 Bowman - Aiva Arquette 1st - Gold Auto /50 BPA-AAPASS
- —2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette 1st Bowman Green Lava Auto /99 Marlins SealedPASS
- —2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette 1st Bowman Refractor Auto Redemption /499 - MarlinsPASS
- $125.002026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette 1st AutoPASS
- $125.482026 Bowman Chrome Aiva Arquette Prospect 1st ON CARD Auto PASS
- $304.982026 Bowman Aiva Arquette #CPA-AA 1st Bowman Variation Autograph Auto RedemptionPASS
- $306.002026 Bowman Aiva Arquette #CPA-AA 1st Bowman Auto Variation Autograph RedemptionPASS
- $349.992026 Bowman 1st Chrome ⭐Aiva Arquette ⭐️ ON CARD AUTO Yellow X-Fractor /75 MLBPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Aiva Arquette Miami Marlins 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-AAPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run