Deal Sniper

Nick Mitchell

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #1019 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

31 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is NICK MITCHELL 2024 Bowman Draft 1ST CHROME…. Evidence still thin.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Nick Mitchell scores 57 out of 100 (#1019 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .099 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Contact: plus

    17.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 87% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: plus

    36 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 79% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NMI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NMI

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$5.70delivered

2024 1st Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-NMI RC — $5.70 delivered, 5% under the $5.97 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

31 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 30 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 24 are under "The whole live market".

  • NICK MITCHELL 2024 Bowman Draft 1ST CHROME AUTO #CPA-NMI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $5.97

    PASS · 25% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 1st Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-NMI RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $5.70

    sold $5.97

    LOTTERY · 5% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-NMI

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $6.98

    modeled $6.87

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-NMI 1st Chrome Auto Orange Refractor /25

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $17.91

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-NMI Nick Mitchell 1st Chrome Sparkle Auto 5/71 Toronto

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 271d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $11.94

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT NICK MITCHELL GREEN LAVA AUTO /99 PSA 9

    /99 · PSA 9 · auction · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $24.84

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $5.70 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.98 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.99 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +143%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 55 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    17.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    .099 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    12.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    36 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .681 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 66th percentile of the cohort, production at the 41th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 88% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 66 and his production sits at 41, a gap of +25. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 88th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

401

AVG

.239

OBP

.343

SLG

.338

OPS

.681

better than 41%

HR

5

SB

24

BB%

12.5

K%

17.0

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .672 to .681 OPS.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.672→.681

Power

.050▲.099

Walks

14.2%▼12.5%

Strikeouts

12.4%▲17.0%

Last season, 169 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market31 listed · 31 eBay-verified · 24 not shown above
Listings
31

31 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$5.70
Median ask
$11.16
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.70
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 24 cards

  • —Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto GREEN /99PASS
  • —NICK MITCHELL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTO PSA 9 Toronto Blue Jays CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft NICK MITCHELL 1st Bowman Rookie AUTO #CPA-NMI PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Draft Chr 1st Bowman Peanuts Ref Auto 2/5 PSA Mint 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $6.492024 Bowman Draft Chrome Nick Mitchell 1st Bowman Auto | Toronto Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $7.282024 Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell 1st Chrome Auto CPA-NMI Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $7.36Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st BOWMAN Auto #CPA-NMI Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $10.492024 Bowman Draft Baseball 1st Chrome Auto Nick Mitchell CPA-NMILOTTERY
  • $10.502024 Bowman Draft Baseball 1st Chrome Auto Nick Mitchell CPA-NMILOTTERY
  • $12.102024 Bowman Draft Chrome Nick Mitchell 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
  • $12.242024 Bowman Chrome Nick Mitchell 1st Prospect AUTO (MS)LOTTERY
  • $13.052024 Bowman Draft Chrome Nick Mitchell 1st Prospect Auto Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $13.99NICK MITCHELL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-NMILOTTERY
  • $15.242024 Bowman Chrome Nick Mitchell 1st Prospect AUTO (MS)LOTTERY
  • —2024 1st Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell Chrome On Card Auto 1st Prospect Blue JaysPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-NMI Nick Mitchell Chrome Prospect Autographs 1st Auto PASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-NMI Nick Mitchell 1st Auto Toronto Blue JaysPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NMI Blue JaysPASS
  • $16.992024 Bowman Draft Nick Mitchell 1st Blue Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-NMILOTTERY
  • $10.98Nick Mitchell 1st Bowman Auto 2024 Washington Nationals Prospect #CPA-NM (AU)LOTTERY
  • $10.422024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nick Mitchell #CPA-NMI Auto lh0LOTTERY
  • $11.342024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nick Mitchell #CPA-NMI Auto 19n6LOTTERY
  • $17.322024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Nick Mitchell #CPA-NMI Auto 1ej4LOTTERY
  • —Nick Mitchell 2024 Bowman Draft Chr 1st Bowman True Red Auto 1/5!!PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now