Deal Sniper

Jancory De La Cruz

CF · Rookie · 20.0y · #2946 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

29 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz GREEN…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jancory De La Cruz scores 45 out of 100 (#2946 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .168 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 79% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (31.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Contact: well below

    31.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus

    .168 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 79% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (31.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JDL — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 9 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JDL

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Refractor /99 at $13.78, 38% over the $9.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/99 at or under $9.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

29 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 29 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 23 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Auto 1st #CPA-JDL Marlins

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 207d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.99

    modeled ~$9.26

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Jancory De La Cruz Auto Florida Marlins

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 60d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.00

    modeled ~$9.26

    LOTTERY

  • Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 Marlins

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 121d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.99

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

  • Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green /99 #CPA-JDL Marlins

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 34d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.24

    modeled ~$29.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome JANCORY DE LA CRUZ PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-JDL

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 707d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.28

    modeled ~$9.05

    LOTTERY

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Auto Refractor 1st /499 #CPA-JDC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.44

    modeled ~$12.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +91%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -21%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $31.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +161%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -64%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +23%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Red Reptilian Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $324.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    5 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2251%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 47 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 13% at his level

    31.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    .168 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    15.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level

    5 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    50

    average · better than 51% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .741 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 39th percentile of the cohort, production at the 51th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 39 and his production sits at 51, a gap of -12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 31th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.0 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

119

AVG

.228

OBP

.345

SLG

.396

OPS

.741

better than 51%

HR

4

SB

1

BB%

15.1

K%

31.9

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market29 listed · 29 eBay-verified · 23 not shown above
Listings
29

29 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.99
Median ask
$16.95
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$8.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 23 cards

  • $11.982024 Bowman Chrome - 1st Prospect Auto Jancory De La Cruz #CPA-JDL Purple /250LOTTERY
  • $16.952024 BOWMAN CHROME JANCORY DE LA CRUZ 1ST BOWMAN AUTO #CPA-JDLLOTTERY
  • $17.24Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 MarlinsLOTTERY
  • $20.882024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JDLLOTTERY
  • $23.072024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Jancory De La Cruz Auto 11s9LOTTERY
  • $31.25Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto Marlins /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.902024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.322024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jancory De La Cruz HTA Choice Auto #/150 / PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $45.18Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-JDL 1st Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $324.002024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Reptilian Red Refractor Auto 3/5 SSP 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz GREEN Wave 1st RC Refractor Auto MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 BOWMAN CHROME JANCORY DE LA CRUZ SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 PSA 10 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Marlins /150 Blue ReptilianNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JDL MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JANCORY DE LA CRUZ Auto 1st HTA Choice Refractor /150 2024 Bowman Chrome MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JDL Miao MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JDL MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Refractor AUTO JANCORY DE LA CRUZ /499 #CPA-JDL NMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz Base 1st Auto Marlins ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome - JANCORY DE LA CRUZ - (1st Bowman) Speckled Auto #'d /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 bowman chrome Jancory De La Cruz /499 prospect refractor 1st auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Jancory De La Cruz 1st Reptilian Red Refractor Auto 1/5! SSSPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.78Jancory De La Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Refractor /99LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player