Chris Newell
CF · Double-A · 25.0y · #3074 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Watch
44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $33.49 against the $65 that card has sold in.
These sell around $65.00 delivered; the asking price is $33.49.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Chris Newell scores 44 out of 100 (#3074 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .216 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (33.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Contact: well below
33.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.774 last season to .727 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.216 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
12.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $33.49
target is $50.38
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (33.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 22 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 27 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 22 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$33.49delivered
2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell AUTO 1ST PROSPECT #CPA-CN LA Dodgers PSA 10💎 — $33.49 delivered, 49% under the $65 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell AUTO 1ST PROSPECT #CPA-CN LA Dodgers PSA 10💎
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 468d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$33.49
sold $65
PASS · 49% under
2023 Bowman #CPA-CN Chris Newell 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 16d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.78
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Auto Los Angeles Dodgers Prospect #CPA-CN
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 574d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.49
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPACN Dodgers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.50
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
Chris Newell 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor 1st Prospect Auto Dodgers
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 98d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.55
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2023 Chris Newell Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-CN (H1199) $6 MAX SHIP
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 63d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.60
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.78 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $38.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $38.02 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +558%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.55 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.25 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +269%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.29 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -34%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.70 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
39
well below · better than 14% at his level
33.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
.216 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
12.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
27 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
51
average · better than 55% at his level · the result, not a skill
.727 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 55th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 55, a gap of +4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 53th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.5 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
378
AVG
.201
OBP
.310
SLG
.417
OPS
.727
better than 55%
HR
21
SB
17
BB%
12.7
K%
33.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .774 to .727 OPS this season.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.774▼.727
Power
.187▲.216
Walks
13.7%▼12.7%
Strikeouts
30.6%▲33.9%
Last season, 549 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
- Listings
- 41
- Lowest seen
- $5.78
- Median ask
- $10.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.78
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.98
41 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 35 cards
- $6.602023 Chris Newell Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-CN (H1199) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $6.732023 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN LA Dodgers - CHRIS NEWELLLOTTERY
- $7.99Chris Newell 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Dodgers LOTTERY
- $8.45Chris Newell 1st AU RC 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-CN DodgerLOTTERY
- $8.752023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Prospect Auto RC #CPA-CN Los Angeles DodgersLOTTERY
- $9.98CHRIS NEWELL 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor Auto /499 1st Dodgers Rookie RCLOTTERY
- $9.992023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CN Chris Newell Refractor 1st Bowman Rookie Auto /499LOTTERY
- $10.982023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $11.03Chris Newell 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $11.03Chris Newell 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto A Card #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $11.70Chris Newell 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CN Yellow /75 DodgersLOTTERY
- $12.992023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN DodgersLOTTERY
- $13.332023 1st Bowman Chrome Chris Newell Auto #CPA-CN Los Angeles DodgersLOTTERY
- $13.99CHRIS NEWELL 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $13.99CHRIS NEWELL 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-CNLOTTERY
- $15.29CHRIS NEWELL 2023 Bowman Chrome MOJO REFRACTOR ~ Dodgers 1st RC AUTO /150LOTTERY
- $23.072023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Chris Newell #CPA-CN Auto 1q0lLOTTERY
- $267.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st Chris Newell Refractor Auto 78/499 PSA GEM MINT 10 RC SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $267.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st Chris Newell Refractor Auto 238/499 PSA GEM MINT 10 RC SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Chris Newell #CPA-CN Auto DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Chris Newell #CPA-CN (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Chris Newell Dodgers Auto #CPA-CN 2022NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Prospect Auto RC #CPA-CN Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Prospect Auto RC #CPA-CN Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN Dodgers (2)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome- Chris Newell -1st Prospect Auto Autograph- #CPA-CN -DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Chris Newell #CPACN 1st Prospect Base Chrome Auto DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Chris Newell 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-CN DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CN Dodgers (3)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Chris Newell Auto #CPA-CN PSA 9 X1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 BOWMAN 1ST CHROME #CPA-CN CHRIS NEWELL LA DODGERS AUTO SGC 10 / 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.252023 Bowman Chrome Chris Newell #CPA-CN Refractor /499 Auto Autograph DodgersLOTTERY
- $38.022023 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Mojo Refractor Chris Newell Auto 1q0lNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run