
Ian Lewis Jr.
SS · Pensacola Blue Wahoos · Double-A · 23.0y · #1461 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
55 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
41 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Ian Lewis Jr. scores 55 out of 100 (#1461 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–2 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
OPS slipping
.801 last season to .653 this one.
Power slipping
.196 last season to .157 this one.
Contact: plus
16.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 92% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to Double-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-IL — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 24 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$1.49–2.49midpoint $1.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 24 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-IL
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 24 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is IAN LEWIS 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-IL 1st Auto at $16.88, 748% over the $1.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-IL PSA 9 Marlins
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1281d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$13.98
modeled ~$42.00
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Ian Lewis PSA 9 Florida Marlins
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 88d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$16.99
modeled ~$42.00
LOTTERY
IAN LEWIS 2022 Bowman Chrome CPA-IL Auto 10 SGC 9 MIAMI MARLINS
base · SGC 9 · listed 84d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$24.00
no sold price
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Refractor IAN LEWIS SP RC AUTO! SGC 10 GEM MINT!
Refractor · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 976d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$35.75
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTOS PURPLE REFRACTOR IAN LEWIS 11/250 PSA 10 AUTO
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 45d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$42.98
modeled ~$79.14
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis Mega Box Mojo Auto #BCMA-IL SGC 10/10
Mojo · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 13d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.48 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.25 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +115%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.29 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.74 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +387%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
16.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
.157 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
9.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
58 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill
.653 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 72th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 72 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.2 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
268
AVG
.209
OBP
.287
SLG
.366
OPS
.653
better than 33%
HR
10
SB
26
BB%
9.3
K%
16.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .801 to .653 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.801▼.653
Power
.196▼.157
Walks
12.0%▼9.3%
Strikeouts
17.4%▼16.0%
Last season, 167 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
- Listings
- 41
- Lowest live
- $3.25
- Median ask
- $6.24
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.48
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.29
41 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 35 cards
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Ian Lewis CPA-IL 1st Auto Yellow /75PASS
- $6.29IAN LEWIS 2022 Bowman Chrome SPECKLE REFRACTOR ~ Marlins 1st RC AUTO /299LOTTERY
- $6.992022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Chrome Speckle Auto #'d /299 Marlins G1LOTTERY
- —IAN LEWIS 2022 TOPPS BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR AUTOGRAPH AUTO #'D /499 MLBPASS
- $3.99IAN LEWIS 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO ON CARD MIAMI MARLINS #CPA-IL NM-MINTLOTTERY
- $3.482022 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-IL Marlins - IAN LEWISLOTTERY
- $3.992022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO CARD MIAMI MARLINS IAN LEWIS #CPA-ILLOTTERY
- $4.23IAN LEWIS 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO ON CARD MIAMI MARLINS #CPA-ILLOTTERY
- $4.752022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-IL Ian Lewis Marlins Autograph CardLOTTERY
- $4.992022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO IAN LEWIS MARLINSLOTTERY
- $5.20Ian Lewis - 2022 Bowman Chrome Autograph 1st Bowman Prospect ON-CARD AUTOLOTTERY
- $5.492022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Bowman On Card Auto - MarlinsLOTTERY
- $5.992022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph Marlins CPA-ILLOTTERY
- $6.002022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Prospect Auto CPA-ILLOTTERY
- $6.242022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-IL Marlins RCLOTTERY
- $10.992022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
- $13.98Ian Lewis 2022 Bowman Chrome Signed On-Card Auto 1st Prospect Rookie RC MarlinsLOTTERY
- $16.88IAN LEWIS 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-IL 1st AutoLOTTERY
- —2022 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Ian Lewis #CPA-IL - 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Ian Lewis Auto Marlins #CPA-ILPASS
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis AutoPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph Marlins CPA-ILPASS
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-IL Ian Lewis Marlins Autograph CardPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Ian Lewis RCPASS
- —2022 Bowman Draft Ian Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto - Miami MarlinsPASS
- —2022 Bowman Draft Ian Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto - Miami MarlinsPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-IL MarlinsPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Ian Lewis 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph Marlins CPA-ILPASS
- $6.28Ian Lewis 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-IL Miami Marlins ROOKIE RC ✨LOTTERY
- $23.072022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 102/250 Ian Lewis #CPA-IL Auto 09anLOTTERY
- $3.25Ian Lewis 2022 Bowman Chrome #BCMA-IL Mojo Refractor AutoLOTTERY
- $4.74Ian Lewis 2023 1st Bowman Auto /250LOTTERY
- —2022 Bowman Ian Lewis 1st Bowman #bp-96 AutoPASS
- —Ian Lewis Marlins 2022 Bowman Chrome1st Bowman Rookie Prospect Auto #CPA-ILPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome IAN LEWIS #CPA-IL 1st Bowman Auto Miami MarlinsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run