Juan Baez
SS · High-A · 21.0y · #3209 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait
42 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best Refractor asks $3.20 against the $11.59 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st JUAN BAEZ AUTO… at $9.99. Player not there yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Juan Baez scores 42 out of 100 (#3209 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $9–14 off 1 confirmed sale.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Power: well below
.069 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus
18.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 82% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (19th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
Listed at your price — $9.99
target is $10.33
Listed at your price — $9.90
target is $10.33
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JBA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$8.69–14.49midpoint $11.59
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 11 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JBA
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$3.20delivered
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Juan Baez Auto Milwaukee Brewers — $3.20 delivered, 72% under the $11.59 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Juan Baez Auto Milwaukee Brewers
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 629d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
$3.20
sold $11.59
PASS · 72% under
2024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez 1st Bowman Auto Brewers #CPA-JBA
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 24d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
$4.35
sold $11.59
PASS · 63% under
2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph - JUAN BAEZ - Brewers 1st Auto! #CPA-JBA
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 134d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
sold $11.59
PASS · 48% under
2024 Bowman Chrome - Juan Baez - 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-JBA 💎
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 196d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.13
sold $11.59
PASS · 21% under
2024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 Brewers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 82d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.90
modeled $6–23.32
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st JUAN BAEZ AUTO Refractor /499 #CPA-JBA Milwaukee Brewers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 22d
Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled $6–23.32
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.35 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.20 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.90 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +209%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.94 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +61%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.32 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +153%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
18.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
.069 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level
9.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
4 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · the result, not a skill
.505 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 13th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 92% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 13, a gap of +29. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 92th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.0 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
276
AVG
.179
OBP
.257
SLG
.248
OPS
.505
better than 13%
HR
2
SB
2
BB%
9.4
K%
18.8
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .511 to .505 OPS.
Still at High-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.511→.505
Power
.023▲.069
Walks
10.4%▼9.4%
Strikeouts
10.9%▲18.8%
Last season, 442 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
- Listings
- 21
- Lowest live
- $3.20
- Median ask
- $10.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.20
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.90
21 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 15 cards
- $9.99Juan Baez 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospect Autographs Card BrewersPASS
- $10.992024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 BrewersPASS
- $13.782024 Bowman Chrome - Juan Baez - 1st Bowman - Auto - #CPA-JBA - BrewersPASS
- $13.99JUAN BAEZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JBAPASS
- $15.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JBA Juan Baez 1st Purple Auto #/250PASS
- $24.292024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JBA - Juan BaezPASS
- $25.00Juan Baez 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JBA Refractor Auto 481/499PASS
- $34.572024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 9/150 Juan Baez Auto 11s9PASS
- $40.322024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Juan Baez #CPA-JBA Auto 0c6PASS
- —2024 Topps Bowman Chrome Juan Baez #CPA-JBA 1st Bowman Refractor Auto 111/499PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-JBA BrewersPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JBA BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome JUAN BAEZ Bowman 1st Chrome Auto BrewersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Juan Baez 1st Bowman Auto /499 #CPA-JBAPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Juan Baez 1st Bowman Auto PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run