Deal Sniper

Marcus Lee Sang

CF · Double-A · 25.0y · #3219 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

42 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

26 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Marcus Lee Sang scores 42 out of 100 (#3219 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .168 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: below average

    8.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .168 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

  • OPS improving

    .490 last season to .822 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ML — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 18 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 18 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-ML

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 18 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.49 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

26 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".

  • Marcus Lee Sang 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-ML Philadelphia Phillies 1st

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 113d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.49

    modeled ~$9.05

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Marcus Lee Sang #CPA-ML Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 897d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.99

    modeled ~$9.05

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang 1st Prospect Chrome Auto #CPA-ML Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 904d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.00

    modeled ~$9.05

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang Bowman 1st Auto #CPA-ML Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 172d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.45

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 776d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.98

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome MARCUS LEE SANG 1st RC Auto Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 718d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.24

    modeled ~$8.89

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $14.98 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +131%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.31 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    52

    average · better than 56% at his level

    24.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    .168 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    8.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level

    21 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .822 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 52th percentile of the cohort, production at the 79th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 89% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 52 and his production sits at 79, a gap of -27. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 11th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.822 OPS in 375 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

375

AVG

.294

OBP

.360

SLG

.462

OPS

.822

better than 79%

HR

13

SB

13

BB%

8.0

K%

24.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .490 up to .822 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.490▲.822

Power

.000▲.168

Walks

15.4%▼8.0%

Strikeouts

15.4%▲24.3%

Last season, 13 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
Listings
26

26 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.49
Median ask
$13.49
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$14.98

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 20 cards

  • $11.602023 Marcus Lee Sang Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-ML (H1117)LOTTERY
  • $12.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ML Marcus Lee Sang 1st Prospect Base Auto PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $13.492023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-ML $ .99 ShippingLOTTERY
  • $13.502023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ML Marcus Lee Sang 1st Prospect Base Auto PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $14.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Marcus Lee Sang #CPA-ML Speckle /299 (AU, RC)LOTTERY
  • $15.312023 Bowman Chrome MARCUS LEE SANG Purple Refractor AUTO #'d 109/250 1st BowmanLOTTERY
  • $16.652023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ML Marcus Lee Sang 1st Chrome Prospect Base AutoLOTTERY
  • $20.542023 1st Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang On Card RC Auto #CPA-ML PhiladelphiaLOTTERY
  • $23.072023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 135/250 Marcus Lee Sang Auto 1lq2LOTTERY
  • $280.502023 Bowman Chrome MARCUS LEE SANG 1st True Gold Refractor Auto /50 Sgc 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $305.002023 Bowman Chrome 1st Marcus Lee Sang #/25 Orange Refractor Rookie Auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Superfractor Marcus Lee Sang 1st AUTO BGS 9/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-ML PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —MARCUS LEE SANG AUTO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME. 1st BOWMAN. MINT. RC.NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-MLNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-ML PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —MARCUS LEE SANG 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH AUTO PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Marcus Lee Sang #CPA-ML PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Marcus Lee Sang On Card Auto 1st Bowman Philadelphia PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —bowman chrome 1st auto Marcus Lee Sang #cpa-mlNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now