Deal Sniper

Ty Harvey

C · Low-A · 20.0y · #3416 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Ty Harvey Chrome Prospects…. Priced above value.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Ty Harvey scores 41 out of 100 (#3416 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $6–10 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    14.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 71% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 69% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    C sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-TH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$6.03–10.05midpoint $8.04

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 6 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-TH

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Harvey #CPA-TH Auto 1rr6 at $23.06, 187% over the $8.04–9.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $8.04 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.

What is for sale right now

17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".

  • TY HARVEY 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO RC SP PSA 9 AUTO 10 POP 1 BA

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $105.99

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Harvey 1st Auto TRUE GOLD /50 SP #CPA-TH Padres

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $8.68–33.77

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Harvey 1st Auto TRUE GOLD /50 SP #CPA-TH Padres

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 48d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $8.68–33.77

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • TY Harvey 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-TH Padres

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $76.74

    modeled $6.51–25.33

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ty Harvey 1st Chrome Auto TRUE GOLD /50 CPA-TH Padres

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Seller risk · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $8.68–33.77

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • TY Harvey 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-TH Padres

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $51.74

    modeled $5.43–21.10

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ty Harvey, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.15–$17.13, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.31 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $51.74 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +217%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $76.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $76.74 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +48%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    27.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    .106 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    14.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level

    30 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    47

    average · better than 39% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .655 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 39th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 39, a gap of +18. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.7 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

158

AVG

.220

OBP

.329

SLG

.326

OPS

.655

better than 39%

HR

2

SB

8

BB%

14.6

K%

27.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .541 up to .655 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.541▲.655

Power

.000▲.106

Walks

23.3%▼14.6%

Strikeouts

40.0%▼27.2%

Last season, 30 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $10.00 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
Listings
17

17 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.31
Median ask
$37.40
Cheapest 1st auto
$16.31
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$51.74

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 11 cards

  • $16.312025 Bowman Draft Chrome CPA-TH TY HARVEY 1st On Card Auto - San Diego PadresPASS
  • $21.25Ty Harvey 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-TH Padres + ExtraPASS
  • $23.062025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Harvey #CPA-TH Auto 1rr6PASS
  • —2025 1st Bowman Ty Harvey Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-TH - PadresPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Ty Harvey Chrome Prospect Auto CPA-TH Padres 1st BowmanPASS
  • —Ty Harvey Auto 1st Bowman 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-TH San Diego PadresPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Ty Harvey Bowman 1st Auto Chrome #CPA-TH PadresPASS
  • —Ty Harvey 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-TH 1st Bowman AUTO Padres ProspectPASS
  • —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft CPA-TH Ty Harvey Padres Auto RC 1st BowmanPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Ty Harvey 1st #CPA-TH RC Autograph PadresPASS
  • —2025 BOWMAN DRAFT TY HARVEY 1ST AUTO!🔥PASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now