
Tim Piasentin
3B · Rookie · 19.0y · #3435 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
40 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Tim Piasentin scores 40 out of 100 (#3435 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: above average — 17.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 63% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 86 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Contact: below average
26.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: above average
17.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 63% at his level.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
3B is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
86 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 4k8 at $26.52, 346% over the $5.95 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $5.95 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".
TIM PIASENTIN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST TRUE ORANGE REFRACTOR AUTO 1/25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 56d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $17.85
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin 1st Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$26.75
sold $15
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Chrome TIM PIASENTIN Auto Blue Refractor /150 1st Prospect RC
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$78.94
modeled $8.93
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin Chrome Auto Blue Refractor 1st #/150 Jays
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $8.93
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Tim Piasentin Blue Jays CPA-TP Auto #018/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d
Seller risk · 3 other things in the way
—
modeled $8.93
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Tim Piasentin Auto 1st #CPA-TP Toronto Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.99
sold $5.95
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.62 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- BlueTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -34%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $37.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $37.44 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +436%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $78.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $78.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +111%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $26.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $26.75 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -66%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
26.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
.102 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
17.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
14 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
44
below average · better than 26% at his level · the result, not a skill
.639 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 26th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 26, a gap of +16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 74th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.1 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 68% of what it wants to know — missing readiness, production.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
86
AVG
.188
OBP
.349
SLG
.290
OPS
.639
better than 26%
HR
1
SB
2
BB%
17.4
K%
26.7
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
- Listings
- 22
- Lowest seen
- $6.99
- Median ask
- $18.78
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $26.75
22 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 16 cards
- $10.622025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $18.78TIM PIASENTIN 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-TPLOTTERY
- $18.78TIM PIASENTIN 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-TPLOTTERY
- $18.78TIM PIASENTIN 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-TPLOTTERY
- $18.78TIM PIASENTIN 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-TPLOTTERY
- $18.78TIM PIASENTIN 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-TPLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-TP Blue JaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin Chrome Auto True Orange Refractor 1st *Read*PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /71PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Tim Piasentin 1st Bowman Auto Blue Jays #CPA-TPPASS
- $37.442025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 1t6PASS
- $13.862025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 1d27LOTTERY
- $17.262025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 0j0oLOTTERY
- $17.312025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 6q5LOTTERY
- $26.522025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tim Piasentin #CPA-TP Auto 4k8PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Tim Piasentin 1st Orange Shimmer Refractor Auto /25 Blue JaysPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run