Yahil Melendez
SS · Myrtle Beach Pelicans · Low-A · 20.0y · #3453 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
40 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
69 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YM…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Yahil Melendez scores 40 out of 100 (#3453 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (35.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
Contact: well below
35.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.653 last season to .563 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: above average
13.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 63% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (35.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 43 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.24–3.74midpoint $2.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-26 · 44 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 43 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Yahil Melendez Auto tw0 at $23.07, 672% over the $2.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
69 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 69 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 63 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Reptilian Refractor Auto /150 Yahil Melendez BGS 9.5
/150 · BGS 9.5 · listed 153d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$41.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-YM ORANGE /25 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEM CUBS
/25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 0d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
249 Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YM Blue Refractor 1st Auto /150 PSA 9
/150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 16d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
modeled ~$149.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 145d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $7.99
PASS · 6% under
2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Speckle Rookie Refractor Auto PSA 9 /299
/299 · PSA 9 · listed 49d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$31.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 BOWMAN CHROME YAHIL MELENDEZ ORANGE SHIMMER # /25 AUTO #CPA-YM 1ST CUBS
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $4.04–15.70
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.40 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Reptilian RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +261%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -74%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.02 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +151%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.32 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $20.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $20.00 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +131%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level
35.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
.087 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
13.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
46
below average · better than 35% at his level
9 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level · the result, not a skill
.563 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 20th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 20, a gap of +17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 77th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.4 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
207
AVG
.172
OBP
.304
SLG
.259
OPS
.563
better than 20%
HR
2
SB
3
BB%
13.5
K%
35.7
Is this player getting better?
Down from .653 to .563 OPS this season.
Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.653▼.563
Power
.077→.087
Walks
14.5%▼13.5%
Strikeouts
36.2%→35.7%
Last season, 207 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $3.99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market69 listed · 69 eBay-verified · 63 not shown above
- Listings
- 69
- Lowest seen
- $5.99
- Median ask
- $11.74
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.99
69 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 63 cards
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Auto Peanuts /5 CubsPASS
- —2025 BOWMAN CHROME YAHIL MELENDEZ ORANGE SHIMMER # /25 AUTO #CPA-YM 1ST CUBSPASS
- $14.982025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto Green Lava #/99PASS
- $20.00Yahil Melendez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Mini Diamond Refractor Auto /100 CubsPASS
- —Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Mojo Refractor 17/150 AUTO Cubs ProspectPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto Blue RayWave Refractor 1st #/150 CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Auto Blue Lava Refractor /150 PASS
- $13.32Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- $16.90💫⚾️YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CUBS!⚾️💫PASS
- —YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE AUTOGRAPH CUBS AUTO /299PASS
- —YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE AUTOGRAPH CUBS AUTO /299PASS
- $5.992025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 CubsPASS
- $8.982025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez #CPA-YM 1st Auto Refractor /499 Chicago Cubs PASS
- $8.982025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez #CPA-YM 1st Auto Refractor /499 Chicago Cubs PASS
- $13.842025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Auto Refractor /499 Chicago Cubs #CPA-YMPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Refractor Auto /499 CubsPASS
- $34.572025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Lava Refractor 52/99 Yahil Melendez Auto 1l7vPASS
- $15.022025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 70/299 Yahil Melendez Auto tw0PASS
- $23.072025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Yahil Melendez Auto tw0PASS
- $6.402025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Autographed Signed Auto Cubs Auto BCP-222PASS
- $6.902025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $7.35Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-YMPASS
- $7.84YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH CHICAGO CUBS AUTOPASS
- $7.99Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto - 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- $8.002025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Base Auto #CPA-YM Cubs ProspectPASS
- $8.312025 Bowman Chrome YAHIL MELENDEZ 1st Auto #CPA-YM Chicago CubsPASS
- $8.982025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-YM Cubs SPPASS
- $9.682025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Base Auto 1stPASS
- $10.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Yahil Melendez CPA YM CubsPASS
- $10.992025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-YM (RC) Chicago CubsPASS
- $11.002025 1st Bowman Chrome YAHIL MELENDEZ Auto ⚡️ Chicago Cubs #CPA-YMPASS
- $11.742025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman AUTO Chicago CubsPASS
- $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Yahil Melendez Auto Chicago Cubs #CPA-YMPASS
- $12.962025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto CubsPASS
- $14.702025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Prospect 1ST AUTO Autograph RC Rookie CUBSPASS
- $15.502025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-YM Chicago CubsPASS
- $16.912025 Bowman Chrome - Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-YM Cubs *NEW*PASS
- —Yahil Melendez 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-YM 1st AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-YM Cubs RC RookiePASS
- —YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO #CPA-YM CUBS Q4871 🔵🔴PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Yahil Melendez Auto CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Yahil Melendez CPA-YMPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman Auto Prospect AutographsPASS
- —TOPPS 2025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT 1ST BOWMAN AUTO YAHIL MELENDEZ CUBSPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Yahil Melendez Cubs #CPA-YMPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Autographs Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman Auto Cubs RC #CPA-YMPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —YAHIL MELENDEZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL CUBS AUTO Q5686PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto - 1st Bowman Autograph - Chicago CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Bowman 1st Auto CPA-YM PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Prospect Autograph Auto Cubs i623PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Base Auto #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Prospect Autograph Auto Cubs i623PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-YM - CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Yahil Melendez 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-YM Chicago CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Base Auto #CPA-YM CubsPASS
- —YAHIL MELENDEZ - 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman AUTO Chicago CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Yahil Melendez Auto ChicagoPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run