Deal Sniper

Zach Levenson

CF · Springfield Cardinals · Double-A · 24.0y · #1784 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

29 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson 1st… at $10.14. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Zach Levenson scores 52 out of 100 (#1784 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: above average — 12.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Speed: below average

    5 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .750 last season to .720 this one.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .167 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-ZL — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-ZL

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $5.78 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

29 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto #CDA-ZL Zach Levenson

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 67d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.78

    modeled ~$10.00

    LOTTERY

  • ZACH LEVENSON 2023 1st Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect AUTO #CDA-ZL Cardinals

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 137d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$10.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Zach Levenson Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-ZL (H1151)

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 56d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.60

    modeled ~$10.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 Cardinals

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.14

    modeled ~$10.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Purple Refractor #CDA-ZL Zach Levenson /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 67d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.78

    modeled ~$20.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Zach Levenson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAZL Cardinals 1

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.00

    modeled ~$10.00

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +90%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.14, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $25.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +133%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.03, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +151%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    26.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    .167 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 73% at his level

    12.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 26% at his level

    5 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .720 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 53th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 53, a gap of 0. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 48th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

339

AVG

.222

OBP

.331

SLG

.389

OPS

.720

better than 53%

HR

11

SB

3

BB%

12.7

K%

26.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .750 to .720 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.750.720

Power

.141.167

Walks

16.2%12.7%

Strikeouts

18.2%26.0%

Last season, 346 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market29 listed · 29 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
Listings
29

29 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.78
Median ask
$14.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.78
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.14

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 22 cards

  • $11.002023 Bowman Draft Zach Levenson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAZL Cardinals 2LOTTERY
  • $11.002023 Bowman Draft Chrome Zach Levenson 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-ZLLOTTERY
  • $11.502023 Bowman Draft Zach Levenson 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAZL St Louis CardinalsLOTTERY
  • $13.242023 Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-ZL CardinalsLOTTERY
  • $14.992023 Bowman Draft | Zach Levenson | 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | CardinalsLOTTERY
  • $15.952023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect #CDA-ZL Zach Levenson Auto CardinalsLOTTERY
  • $15.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-ZL CardinalsLOTTERY
  • $15.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CDA-ZLLOTTERY
  • $15.99ZACH LEVENSON 2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH CARDINALS AUTOLOTTERY
  • $17.022023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 29/250 Zach Levenson Auto 3irLOTTERY
  • $17.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Zach Levenson Auto 0e9iLOTTERY
  • $25.082023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 87/150 Zach Levenson Auto 5x8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $26.232023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 24/150 Zach Levenson Auto 1o0hNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $42.042023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor Zach Levenson SGC 9.5 Auto 1ek2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $63.032023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 64/99 Zach Levenson Auto zn0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Zach Levenson 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto St. Louis CardinalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Zach Levenson Auto #CDA-ZL Cardinals 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO ZACH LEVENSON CARDINALSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph Zach Levenson ROOKIE 1st AUTO CARDINALSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Zach Levenson Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #62/250NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Zach Levenson #CDA-ZL RC Rookie Auto CardinalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Zach Levenson 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 🔥 Auto 1st Bowman 🔥 St. Louis CardinalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player