Nelly Taylor
CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #1840 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
75 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Topps 2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Red Sox 1st…. Priced above value.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Nelly Taylor scores 51 out of 100 (#1840 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Contact: below average
29.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.704 last season to .636 this one.
Plate discipline: plus
14.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 83% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.25–3.75midpoint $3.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 5 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NT
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-NT - Boston Red Sox at $22.50, 650% over the $1.75–3.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1.75 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
75 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 75 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 69 are under "The whole live market".
2026 Bowman Chrome - Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Black X-Fractor Auto /10
/10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$307.98
modeled $4.05–15.75
PASS
Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NT Nelly Taylor Red Sox /15 SSP black/gold
/15 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $4.05–15.75
PASS
NELLY TAYLOR 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO SUNFLOWER SEEDS REFRACTOR 1/5 Q3701
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $4.05–15.75
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Nelly Taylor Auto Gold Lava /50 CPA-NT
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$85.55
modeled $3.24–12.60
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome - Nelly Taylor 1st Gold Shimmer Auto #/50 Boston Red Sox
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $3.24–12.60
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Auto 38/75 Gold CPA-NT Red Sox OF
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$85.98
modeled $2.70–10.50
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.13 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +64%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.95 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $68.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $68.45 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +219%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -74%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.98 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +391%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $309.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $309.99 live
- Scarcity
- 89 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +261%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Lava /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.55 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -72%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $307.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $307.98 live
- Scarcity
- 10 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +260%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $300.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $300.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
44
below average · better than 28% at his level
29.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 45% at his level
.135 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
14.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
39 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level · the result, not a skill
.636 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 29th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 94% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 29, a gap of +31. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 94th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.0 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
338
AVG
.188
OBP
.313
SLG
.323
OPS
.636
better than 29%
HR
7
SB
22
BB%
14.5
K%
29.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .704 to .636 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.704▼.636
Power
.133→.135
Walks
17.1%▼14.5%
Strikeouts
28.1%▲29.9%
Last season, 473 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market75 listed · 75 eBay-verified · 69 not shown above
- Listings
- 75
- Lowest seen
- $10.98
- Median ask
- $15.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $10.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $17.50
75 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 69 cards
- —2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Chrome Auto Yellow Refractor 1st Prospect #/75 Red SoxPASS
- $309.992026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Prospects Auto Pack Fractor 69/89 Red SoxPASS
- —2026 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-NT Nelly Taylor /99 Green Shimmer PASS
- $17.502026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto Mojo Refractor /150 | Red SoxLOTTERY
- $68.45Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Mini Diamonds Auto /100 Red SoxPASS
- $17.952026 Topps Bowman Chrome Purple #CPA-NT Nelly Taylor 1st Auto #48/250 MintLOTTERY
- $21.49🔥2026 Nelly Taylor Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Purple Refractor /250 Red Sox AutoLOTTERY
- $18.002026 Bowman Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 🔥Red Sox🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 🔥Red Sox🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor 1st Orange Shimmer Auto /25 #CPANTPASS
- —2026 Bowman CPA-NT Nelly Taylor 1st Auto Green Refractor /99 Boston Red SoxPASS
- $300.002026 Bowman 1st CPA-NT Nelly Taylor Auto True Orange /25 Boston Red SoxPASS
- $10.982026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox #CPA-NTPASS
- $11.082026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $11.242026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st On-Card Auto #CPA-NT Red Sox AutographPASS
- $11.492026 Bowman Nelly Taylor 1st Chrome Prospect On-Card Auto #CPA-NT Red Sox BasePASS
- $11.502026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Boston Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $11.742026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Autograph Nelly Taylor Auto🔥📈Red Sox🔥📈PASS
- $11.992026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $12.502026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $12.952026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Nelly Taylor 1st Rookie RC AUTO Red Sox MintPASS
- $12.992026 Topps Bowman- Nelly Taylor (RC) 1st Bowman Chrome Auto ⚾️ On-Card, Red SoxPASS
- $13.502026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $13.952026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Chrome Auto #CPA-NT 1st Prospect Boston Red SoxPASS
- $15.002026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $15.002026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- $15.492026 Bowman Chrome 1st Nelly Taylor On Card Auto Boston Red SoxPASS
- $15.972026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nelly Taylor Red SoxPASS
- $15.99Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Red Sox PASS
- $15.99Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Red Sox PASS
- $16.132026 Bowman- Nelly Taylor 💎 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 🔥 CPA-NT 🔥PASS
- $16.742026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Auto Autograph Boston Red SoxPASS
- $17.50Bowman 2025 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- $20.982026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-NT Boston Red SoxPASS
- $22.50Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-NT - Boston Red SoxPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Red Sox 1st Bowman Auto Chrome Prospect CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Nelly Taylor Red Sox #CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome - Nelly Taylor 1st Auto #CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman- Nelly Taylor 💎 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 🔥 CPA-NT 🔥PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- —Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NT Boston Red Sox on Auto!PASS
- —Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox #CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red SoxPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Nelly Taylor CPA-NT Auto Prospect Red SoxPASS
- —Nelly Taylor 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Red Sox PASS
- —Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Rookie Auto Red Sox #CPA-NTPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Nelly Taylor Auto Rookie CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- —Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto BCPA-NT Boston Red Sox (Topps)PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor #CPA-NT 1st Auto Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor #CPA-NT 1st Auto Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor 1st Chrome Prospect On Card Auto #CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-NT Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Chrome Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —NELLY TAYLOR 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman Red SoxPASS
- —Nelly Taylor- 2026 Bowman 1st Chrome AutoPASS
- —NELLY TAYLOR 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-NT RED SOXPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto Rookie Card #CPA-NTPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Bowman Auto Boston Red SoxPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox #CPA-NT Free Shipping!PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —NELLY TAYLOR 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT 1ST AUTO #CPA-NT RED SOXPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor On Card Auto 1st Bowman Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Nelly Taylor 1st Auto Red Sox CPA-NTPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run