Maikol Hernández
SS · Norfolk Tides · Triple-A · 22.0y · #3645 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
39 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
54 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects CPA-MH Maikol…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Maikol Hernández scores 39 out of 100 (#3645 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 22 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Contact: bottom of the scale
40.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (9th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
22 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (40.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 18 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 21 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 18 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /100 at $5.35 costs 1.89× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
54 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto #CPA-MH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 63d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.83
modeled ~$16.99
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto #CPA-MH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 63d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.83
modeled ~$16.99
LOTTERY
Maikol Hernandez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 164d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.31
modeled ~$16.99
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome- Maikol Hernandez Bowman 1st Auto On Card ORIOLES
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 212d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.44
modeled ~$16.99
LOTTERY
2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO MAIKOL HERNANDEZ ORIOLES
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 124d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.99
modeled ~$16.99
LOTTERY
Maikol Hernandez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Atomic Refractor Auto #CPA-MH 61/100
/100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 21d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.35
modeled ~$27.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.83, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.83 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue RayWave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.12 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1000%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -78%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.86, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.86 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -16%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.96, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.96 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.39, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.39 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.39, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.39 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.35 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.74 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +45%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 40 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 40 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level
40.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
.000 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
9.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level · the result, not a skill
.349 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 19th percentile of the cohort, production at the 5th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 19 and his production sits at 5, a gap of +14. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 69th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
22
AVG
.111
OBP
.238
SLG
.111
OPS
.349
better than 5%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
9.1
K%
40.9
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market54 listed · 54 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
- Listings
- 54
- Lowest live
- $2.83
- Median ask
- $8.53
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.83
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.35
54 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 34 minutes ago.
The other 46 cards
- $5.392022 Maikol Hernandez Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150LOTTERY
- $5.86Maikol Hernandez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto Speckle /299 OriolesLOTTERY
- $5.872022 Bowman Chrome- Maikol Hernandez Bowman 1st Auto On Card ORIOLESLOTTERY
- $6.39Maikol Hernandez 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Purple Refractor Auto #CPA-MH /250LOTTERY
- $6.992022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $6.992022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Blue Choice Refractor 1st Auto /150 OriolesLOTTERY
- $6.99Maikol Hernandez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Baltimore OriolesLOTTERY
- $7.202022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Maikol Hernandez #CPA-MH Auto BaktimoreLOTTERY
- $7.742022 Bowman Chrome - Maikol Hernandez 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 💎LOTTERY
- $7.94Maikol Hernandez 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome On-Card AUTO Prospect RC OriolesLOTTERY
- $7.952022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Orioles Blue Choice Refractor Auto /150 1stLOTTERY
- $7.962022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #123/299 #CPA-MHLOTTERY
- $8.50Maikol Hernandez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-MHLOTTERY
- $8.56Maikol Hernandez 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MH 1st Bowman Prospect Auto- OriolesLOTTERY
- $10.852022 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Hernandez On Card Auto Baltimore OriolesLOTTERY
- $10.992022 BOWMAN CHROME MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 1ST AUTO REFRACTOR /499 #CPA-MH ORIOLESLOTTERY
- $11.572022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 224/250 Maikol Hernandez Auto 0ok8LOTTERY
- $11.572022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 107/299 Maikol Hernandez Auto 0ok8LOTTERY
- $12.002022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Maikol Hernandez #CPA-MH - SGC 9.5LOTTERY
- $13.99MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 141/150 #CPA-MHLOTTERY
- $13.99MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-MHLOTTERY
- $14.722022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 148/250 Maikol Hernandez Auto 16mfLOTTERY
- $15.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st SPECKLE /299 MAIKOL HERNANDEZ Auto #CPA-MHLOTTERY
- $16.172022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 157/499 Maikol Hernandez #CPA-MH Auto 11oqLOTTERY
- $17.05MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Base Auto Prospect RC PACK FRESH!LOTTERY
- $17.05MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Base Auto Prospect RC PACK FRESH!LOTTERY
- $18.25MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Base Auto Prospect RC PACK FRESH!LOTTERY
- $19.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Maikol Hernandez #CPA-MH - SGC 10LOTTERY
- $26.50PSA 9 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Hernandez On Card Auto Baltimore Orioles RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $27.672022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 136/250 Maikol Hernandez Auto 1j7tNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.94PSA 10 2022 Topps Bowman Heritage Chrome Prospect Auto Orioles MAIKOL HERNANDEZNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.122022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue RayWave Refractor Maikol Hernandez Auto 15r3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects CPA-MH Maikol Hernandez 1st Auto /149 SGC 10 Gem MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Orioles CPA-MH 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Maikol Hernandez Auto /499 PSA 9 Refractor Orioles CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Maikol Hernandez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —MAIKOL HERNANDEZ - 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-MH - OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Maikol Hernandez Auto 1st Bowman Chrome 2022 #CPA-MH Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Purple Auto Maikol Hernandez Auto /250 SGC 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez 1st Auto Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —MAIKOL HERNANDEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO BALTIMORE ORIOLES SGC 9.5 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez 1st Atomic Refractor Auto RC #/100 SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Purple Refractor Auto 084/250 Orioles PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Maikol Hernandez Purple Ref. 1st Auto /250 SGC 10/9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —PSA 9 2022 Bowman Chrome Maikol Hernandez Auto Yellow Refractor 1st #24/75NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run