Akil Baddoo
LF · Triple-A · 28.0y · #3772 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
9 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Akil Baddoo scores 37 out of 100 (#3772 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .205 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 75% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.
Contact: below average
25.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.868 last season to .760 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: above average
.205 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 75% at his level.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto BCP-AAB — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto BCP-AAB
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $8.74 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
9 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 9 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 3 are under "The whole live market".
2018 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO AKIL BADDOO TWINS
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 232d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.74
modeled ~$9.26
LOTTERY
2018 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Akil Baddoo AUTO RC PSA 10 GEM MINT ROOKIE Prospect
base · PSA 10 · listed 1443d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$306.98
modeled ~$85.25
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2018 Bowman Chrome Akil Baddoo Superfractor auto 1/1 PSA
1/1 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 45d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$4000.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Akil Baddoo BVG 8.5 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph Prospect Mint BCPAAB
base · raw · listed 206d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$9.05
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2018 Bowman Chrome Akil Baddoo Prospects Auto #BCPA-AB Twins PSA 10 GEM MINT
base · PSA 10 · listed 61d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
modeled ~$85.25
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2018 AKIL BADDOO Topps Bowman 1st Chrome Prospects Autograph ON CARD AUTO PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · listed 600d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$22.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level
25.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
.205 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
13.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
17 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
51
average · better than 52% at his level · the result, not a skill
.760 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 52th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 52, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 61th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
178
AVG
.225
OBP
.330
SLG
.430
OPS
.760
better than 52%
HR
8
SB
5
BB%
13.5
K%
25.8
Is this player getting better?
Down from .868 to .760 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.868▼.760
Power
.202→.205
Walks
14.9%▼13.5%
Strikeouts
24.5%▲25.8%
Last season, 457 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market9 listed · 9 eBay-verified · 3 not shown above
- Listings
- 9
- Lowest seen
- $8.74
- Median ask
- $306.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $8.74
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
9 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 3 cards
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run