Deal Sniper

Reginald Preciado

SS · South Bend Cubs · High-A · 23.0y · #3806 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2021 Bowman 1ST Chrome Prospects Reginald… at $40.50. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Reginald Preciado scores 37 out of 100 (#3806 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .151 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 61% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 79 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Contact: well below

    38.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .151 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 61% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    79 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (38.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RPR — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 9 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RPR

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.10 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2021 Bowman 1ST Chrome Prospects Reginald Preciado BGS 9/10 MINT Auto

    /10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 303d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $40.50

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado Padres 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-RPR /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$15.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Reginald Preciado 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect SGC 9.5 With 10 Auto Cubs

    base · SGC 9.5 · listed 751d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $25.25

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Reginald Preciado 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect SGC 10 With 10 Auto

    base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 45d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $30.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado CPA-RPR 1st Speckle Refractor Auto SGC 10

    Speckle Refractor · SGC 10 · listed 20d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $33.98

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Bowman Cracked Ice Refractor Auto /100

    /100 · raw · condition not stated · listed 56d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.99

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +336%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.65, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -20%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -30%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +106%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -49%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 43 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    37

    well below · better than 10% at his level

    38.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    .151 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    40

    well below · better than 16% at his level

    6.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .754 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 28th percentile of the cohort, production at the 62th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 94% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 28 and his production sits at 62, a gap of -34. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 6th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.6 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

79

AVG

.274

OBP

.329

SLG

.425

OPS

.754

better than 62%

HR

2

SB

0

BB%

6.3

K%

38.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.10
Median ask
$14.95
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.10
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.48

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • $30.75Reginald Preciado 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9 MINT RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.48Reginald Preciado 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Speckle Sparkle /299 Padres / CubsLOTTERY
  • $18.652021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto /299 Reginald PreciadoLOTTERY
  • REGINALD PRECIADO 2021 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO PSA 9 Padres Cubs 1st CparprNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $14.952021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 QTY READ ⬇️LOTTERY
  • $3.102021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Prospect Auto Autograph Padres JX082LOTTERY
  • $3.84Reginald Preciado AUTO 1st 2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RPR San Diego PadresLOTTERY
  • $3.94REGINALD PRECIADO 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-RPRLOTTERY
  • $7.992021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RPR Reginald Preciado 1st RC Rookie Auto PadresLOTTERY
  • $11.492021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $13.502021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Bowman Auto Refractor **113/499**LOTTERY
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado RC 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RPRNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Reginald Preciado #CPA-RPR AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-RPR PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Reginald Preciado #CPA-RPR 1st Auto CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.612021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Reginald Preciado #CPA-RPR SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 0mr3LOTTERY
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Reginald Preciado Auto Speckle Refractor CPARPR /299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $21.572021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 69/299 Reginald Preciado Auto 14dhLOTTERY
  • 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Reginald Preciado Sky Blue Signed Auto Chicago CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player