Abimelec Ortiz
1B · Rochester Red Wings · Triple-A · 24.0y · #202 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
74 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $95.98, over the $70 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Abimelec… at $17.50. Needs a $8 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Abimelec Ortiz scores 74 out of 100 (#202 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $11–17 off 3 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — 1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Power: plus
.253 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 87% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Bat-first profile
1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Contact: above average
19.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 67% at his level.
Why now
3 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$11.25–16.50midpoint $13.50
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 11 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz On Card Auto #CPA-AO Nats Nationals RC at $46.99, 276% over the $11.50–13.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $11.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $8 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2024 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Abimelec… at or under $10 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
56 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 55 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 49 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st TRUE GREEN Auto Refractor /99 SGC 9.5
/99 · SGC 9.5 · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$65.99
sold $49.05
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st TRUE GREEN Auto Refractor /99 SGC 9.5
/99 · SGC 9.5 · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$75.99
sold $49.05
PASS
Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Refractor Auto 118/150 PSA 10
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$233.40
modeled $105
PASS
2024 BOWMAN CHROME ABIMELEC ORTIZ GREEN SHIMMER 1ST BOWMAN AUTO 86/99 PSA 10
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$257.99
modeled $126
PASS
2024 1st Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz /150 * HTA Refractor Auto * PSA 10 149/150
/150 · PSA 10 · listed 228d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$282.90
modeled $105
PASS
ABIMELEC ORTIZ 2024 Bowman Sapphire 1st CHROME PROSPECT AUTO GOLD /50 PSA 10 NAT
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 14d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$595.00
modeled $168
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Abimelec Ortiz, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.75–$18.38, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder15 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $49.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $49.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +186%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $81.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $81.25 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +63%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $81.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $81.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $56.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $56.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $141.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $141.25 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +152%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $116.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $116.25 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $80.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $80.75 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $86.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $86.32 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $73.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $73.50 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $94.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $94.95 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +29%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $155.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $155.88 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +64%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $140.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $140.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $164.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $164.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $334.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $334.50 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +103%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
16 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
19.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level
.253 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level
11.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill
.845 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 29th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.5 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.845 OPS in 365 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
365
AVG
.244
OBP
.348
SLG
.497
OPS
.845
better than 74%
HR
18
SB
0
BB%
11.8
K%
19.5
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .787 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.787▲.845
Power
.197▲.253
Walks
11.3%→11.8%
Strikeouts
22.3%▼19.5%
Last season, 391 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market56 listed · 56 eBay-verified · 49 not shown above
- Listings
- 56
- Lowest live
- $17.50
- Median ask
- $81.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $17.50
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $49.98
56 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 49 cards
- $909.982024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Bowman Auto Orange Shimmer /25 PSA 10PASS
- $272.902024 1st Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz /299 * Speckle Refractor Auto * PSA 10PASS
- $334.502024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz Orange Shimmer /25 AUTO 1st Bowman SSP 🚀PASS
- $164.502024 1st Bowman GOLD Sapphire RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz! Rookie! Autograph /50PASS
- $95.982024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Auto PSA 10 #CPA-AOPASS
- $104.222024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Auto PSA 10 Rangers Prospect CPA-AOPASS
- $155.88Abimelec Ortiz Auto Yellow #/75 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph NationalsPASS
- —ABIMELEC ORTIZ 2024 BOWMAN #CPA-AO CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT RANGERS PSA 10 GEMPASS
- $80.75Abimelec Ortiz - 2024 Bowman Chrome Green Grass Auto /99 1st BowmanPASS
- $94.95Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto True Green Refractor 1st /99 #CPA-AOPASS
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME ABIMELEC ORTIZ GREEN SHIMMER AUTO 1ST BOWMAN /99 Nationals PASS
- $116.252024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Abimelec Ortiz #CPA-AO True Blue Refractor /150 NatsPASS
- $141.252024 Bowman Chrome ABIMELEC ORTIZ 1st Auto Mini-Diamond Refractor 050/100 NatsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Abimelec Ortiz Auto /100PASS
- —Abimelec Ortiz - 2024 Bowman Chrome Blue Lunar Auto /150 1st BowmanPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Abimelec Ortiz #CPA-AO True Blue Refractor /150PASS
- $81.00Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-AOPASS
- $81.252024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Auto Speckle Refractor 280/299 #CPA-AOPASS
- $49.982024 Bowman Chrome 1st ABIMELEC ORTIZ AUTO Refractor /499 #CPA-AO Nationals PASS
- $61.00Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-AO RangersPASS
- $65.99Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto REFRACTOR SP/499! NATIONALS! $PASS
- $69.982024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Refractor Auto /499 NationalsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz 1st Auto Refractor /499 CPA-AO Rangers NatsPASS
- —2024 BOWMAN ABIMELEC ORTIZ 1ST BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT REFRACTOR AUTO RC #D/499 *PASS
- —Abimelec Ortiz 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 1/299 Bookend NationalsPASS
- $86.322024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Grass Refractor 37/99 Abimelec Ortiz Auto 15wbPASS
- —Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman 1st Prospect Auto True Blue /150PASS
- $56.002024 1st Bowman HTA MOJO Refractor RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz! Rookie Autograph /150PASS
- $73.502024 1st Bowman GREEN Lava RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz Nationals Rookie Autograph /99PASS
- $81.902024 1st Bowman GREEN Lava RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz Nationals Rookie Autograph /99PASS
- $140.002024 1st Bowman GOLD Shimmer RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz! Rookie! Autograph /50PASS
- —2024 Bowman 1st Abimelec Ortiz Orange Shimmer Refractor 1st Auto /25 NationalsPASS
- $70.98Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $256.952024 Bowman 1st Abimelec Ortiz Orange Shimmer Refractor 1st Auto /25 PSA 9 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Abimelec Ortiz 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto HTA Choice /150 PSA 9 NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Abimelec Ortiz /499 Refractor PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz /99 1st Green Lava Auto(RC)Rangers PSA 9/10🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.502024 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz #CPA-AO Nationals Rookie AutographPASS
- $19.502024 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz #CPA-AO Nationals Rookie AutographPASS
- $20.00Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect On Card Auto Autograph #CPA-AOPASS
- $21.352024 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Abimelec Ortiz #CPA-AO Nationals Rookie AutographPASS
- $25.49Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs RC Auto 1st Nationals PASS
- $27.67ABIMELEC ORTIZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-AOPASS
- $35.98Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st AutoPASS
- $41.00Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-AO RangersPASS
- $46.992024 1st Bowman Chrome Abimelec Ortiz On Card Auto #CPA-AO Nats Nationals RCPASS
- —ABIMELEC ORTIZ 2024 Bowman Base 1st Chrome Auto Autograph #CPA-AOPASS
- —Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto RC CPA-AOPASS
- —Abimelec Ortiz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPAAO—Washington Nationals RookiePASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run