Josh Hood
SS · Double-A · 26.0y · #4430 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
34 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Josh Hood scores 34 out of 100 (#4430 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .207 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 80% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.6% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than only 24% of the players there.
Contact: well below
33.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.207 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 80% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.6% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Age for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 24% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 14 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 14 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 14 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman 1st Chrome JOSH HOOD Green Grass Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-JHD Card
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 174d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.99
modeled ~$25.07
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood 1st Bowman Speckle Refactor Auto 246/299 Mariners
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 198d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.98
modeled ~$19.18
NEEDS EVIDENCE
SGC 9.5/10 2023 Bowman Chrome CPA-JHD JOSH HOOD 1st Bowman On Card Auto
base · SGC 9.5 · listed 1169d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$19.95
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Josh Hood Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Refractor Auto RC 101/150 (H159)
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$21.60
modeled ~$15.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023-24 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood CPA-JHD Chrome Prospects 1st Refractor /499 Auto
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$22.38
modeled ~$11.69
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect JOSH HOOD Auto SPECKLE Refractor /299 Mariners
/299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 220d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$7.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.28 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.29 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +211%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +54%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Lunar Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.56 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.60 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +87%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -58%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level
33.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level
.207 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
9.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
48
average · better than 42% at his level
13 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · the result, not a skill
.690 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 44th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 44, a gap of +2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 50th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
235
AVG
.202
OBP
.281
SLG
.409
OPS
.690
better than 44%
HR
9
SB
5
BB%
9.8
K%
33.6
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .606 up to .690 OPS.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.606▲.690
Power
.135▲.207
Walks
7.4%▲9.8%
Strikeouts
30.3%▲33.6%
Last season, 419 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
- Listings
- 28
- Lowest seen
- $4.28
- Median ask
- $13.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.28
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.99
28 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 22 cards
- —JOSH HOOD 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO SGC 10/9.5 Mariners 1st Cpa-jhd NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josh Hood /75 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto /75 YellowNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.28Josh Hood 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JHD NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.312023 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood 1st Prospect Auto Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.992023 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-JHD MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.27Josh Hood - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph - ON-CARD AUTO (A)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10.88JOSH HOOD 2023 Bowman #CPA-JHO 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.99JOSH HOOD 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JHDNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $25.072023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Grass Refractor 5/99 Josh Hood Auto 1n8mNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Josh Hood Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-JHD Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood 1st Bowman Auto CPA -JHD MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josh Hood 2023 Bowman Baseball Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josh Hood 2023 Bowman Baseball Chrome 🔥 1st Bowman Auto 🔥 Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josh Hood #CPA-JHD 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto! 2023 BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Josh Hood Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Josh Hood 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JHD MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Josh Hood 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JHD NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.562023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Lunar Crater Refractor /150 Josh Hood Auto uk2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $23.072023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Josh Hood #CPA-JHD Auto 0c6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.542023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Josh Hood #CPA-JHD SGC 9 MINT Auto 14dqNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.292023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 484/499 Josh Hood #CPA-JHD Auto 00rsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $14.442023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 479/499 Josh Hood #CPA-JHD Auto 0au4NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run