Deal Sniper

Ruben Santana

3B · Hillsboro Hops · High-A · 21.0y · #4642 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

33 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

43 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 BOWMAN CHROME RUBEN SANTANA 1ST AUTO…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Ruben Santana scores 33 out of 100 (#4642 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 33 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    15.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 77% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (8th percentile); 3B is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    33 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (39.4% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 26 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 26 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 26 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.05 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

43 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 43 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 37 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RSA PSA 9/10

    /10 · PSA 9 · listed 51d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $18.75

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-RSA PSA 10

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 774d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.66

    modeled ~$89.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • RUBEN SANTANA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO SP Autograph #CPA-RSA PSA 10 Gem Mint

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 25d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $38.93

    modeled ~$89.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME RUBEN SANTANA 1ST AUTO GREEN 37/99! PSA 10 GEM! DIAMONDBACKS

    /99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 12d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana Prospect Auto 1st Bowman SGC 10 Diamondbacks

    base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 110d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • RUBEN SANTANA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO D-BACKS SGC 10

    base · SGC 10 · listed 165d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.05, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.05 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.98 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +63%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12.99 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +161%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12.98 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 45 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    39.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    15.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level

    18 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .451 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 9th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 91% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 9, a gap of +28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 91th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.5 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

33

AVG

.148

OBP

.303

SLG

.148

OPS

.451

better than 9%

HR

0

SB

1

BB%

15.2

K%

39.4

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market43 listed · 43 eBay-verified · 37 not shown above
Listings
43

43 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.05
Median ask
$8.96
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.05
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$12.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 37 cards

  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10 #CPA-RSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 SGC 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.98Ruben Santana 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPECKLE Refractor 264/299LOTTERY
  • $12.992023 Bowman 1st Chrome #CPA-RSA Ruben Santana /299 Speckle Sparkle RC Auto CardLOTTERY
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #/299 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana Prospect Auto Speckle Refractor /299 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Purple Refractor / 250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $3.052023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA LOTTERY
  • $3.41Ruben Santana 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH D'backs RC z2LOTTERY
  • $3.982023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RSA Ruben Santana 1st Auto Arizona DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $5.00Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto RC #CPA-RSA AZ DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $5.492023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Prospect Autograph #CPA-RSA AutoLOTTERY
  • $5.742023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana Auto 1st #CPA-RSA DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $5.752023 BOWMAN CHROME RUBEN SANTANA CPA-RSA 1ST RC AUTO DIAMONDBACKS MCG 10LOTTERY
  • $5.782023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA Auto 1st Prospect DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $5.902023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RSALOTTERY
  • $7.50Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Auto Arizona Diamondbacks CPA-RSALOTTERY
  • $7.952023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana CPA-RSA 1st Base Prospect Auto LOTTERY
  • $8.602023 Ruben Santana Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-RSA (H1186)LOTTERY
  • $9.312023 Topps Bowman Chrome Auto Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA 1st DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $9.51Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-RSALOTTERY
  • $11.19Ruben Santana 1st AUTO 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RSA Arizona Diamondbacks ProspectLOTTERY
  • $13.99RUBEN SANTANA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-RSALOTTERY
  • $14.482023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Signed BCP-42 DBacks GTPLOTTERY
  • $16.25Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-RSA DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $22.382023-24 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana CPA-RSA Chrome Prospects 1st AutoLOTTERY
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA Auto 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Ruben Santana 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Ruben Santana #CPA-RSA A2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-RSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Ruben Santana 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Auto #CPARSA 116/299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $4.982023 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Auto Refractor Ruben Santana /499 CPA-RSA NM AutoLOTTERY
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana 1st Rookie Auto RC #CPA-RSA DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $41.752023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Ruben Santana BGS 9 MINT Auto 16mfNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Ruben Santana Prospect Autos #CPA-RSA Auto RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now