Deal Sniper

Cristhian Vaquero

CF · Wilmington Blue Rocks · High-A · 21.0y · #4649 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

32 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero Auto… at $46.98. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Cristhian Vaquero scores 32 out of 100 (#4649 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $7–12 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 56 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    43 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 83% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (8th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    56 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CV — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$7.12–11.86midpoint $9.49

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 5 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CV

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Cristhian Vaquero 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CV 1st Bowman Prospect Auto- Nationals at $279, 2840% over the $9.49 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $9.49 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero Auto 1st Bowman PSA 9 Mint Nationals

    base · PSA 9 · listed 29d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $18.90

    modeled ~$35.99

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome - Bowman 1st Cristhian Vaquero Auto - SGC 9.5

    base · SGC 9.5 · takes offers · listed 324d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $22.99

    no sold price

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero CPA-CV 1st Dual Auto PSA 9 DNA 10 Nationals

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 903d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $30.24

    modeled ~$35.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero Auto PSA 10 #CPA-CV 1st Bowman RC

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 56d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $33.99

    modeled ~$89.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • PSA 10 CRISTHIAN VAQUERO 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Dual AUTO Grade Nationals

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 903d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.24

    modeled ~$89.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CV Cristhian Vaquero 1st Prospect Auto Nationals PSA 10

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 129d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.98

    modeled ~$89.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $33.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $46.98 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $131.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $131.99 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +181%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    46

    below average · better than 35% at his level

    28.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    10.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level

    43 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    40

    well below · better than 16% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .538 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 16th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 89% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 16, a gap of +26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 89th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.5 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

56

AVG

.229

OBP

.309

SLG

.229

OPS

.538

better than 16%

HR

0

SB

4

BB%

10.7

K%

28.6

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
Listings
22

22 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$12.98
Median ask
$35.61
Cheapest 1st auto
$12.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$42.90

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 16 cards

  • $39.982022 Bowman Chrome 1st Cristhian Vaquero Auto PSA 10 #CPA-CV GEM MT RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $42.902022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero #CPA-CV Speckle Auto #d /299 1st SGC 9.5 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $46.982022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero Auto Refractor 1st #/499 Nationals PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $131.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Cristhian Vaquero Refractor Auto Variation SP /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome CRISTHIAN VAQUERO 1st Prospect Auto SGC 10 10 NationalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome CRISTHIAN VAQUERO #/100 1st Auto Atomic Refractor PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Cristhian Vaquero 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CV NationalsPASS
  • $30.532022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cristhian Vaquero #CPA-CV PSA 9 MINT Auto 0fz3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.542022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cristhian Vaquero #CPA-CV PSA 9 MINT Auto lh0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.292022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cristhian Vaquero #CPA-CV PSA 9 MINT Auto 12frNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $37.442022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cristhian Vaquero #CPA-CV PSA 9 MINT Auto 11s9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Cristhian Vaquero PSA 9 Auto 2a5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Cristhian Vaquero Nationals 1st Auto #CPA-CVPASS
  • $12.982022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cristhian Vaquero 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CV NationalsLOTTERY
  • $278.98Cristhian Vaquero 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CV 1st Bowman Prospect Auto- NationalsPASS
  • —Cristhian Vaquero 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CV NationalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now