Deal Sniper

Jesus Galiz

C · Great Lakes Loons · High-A · 22.0y · #4678 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

32 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

46 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is JESUS GALIZ DODGERS 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST… at $29.95. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Jesus Galiz scores 32 out of 100 (#4678 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–3 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 68 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .035 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: plus

    19.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 79% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    13.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 65% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    68 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 28 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.52–2.52midpoint $2.02

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 32 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 28 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome🔥Jesus Galiz🔥1st Auto at $16.25, 704% over the $2.02 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2.02 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

46 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 46 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 40 are under "The whole live market".

  • JESUS GALIZ DODGERS 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO SGC 10

    base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 932d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $29.95

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10 Los Angeles Dodgers

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 36d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $36.19

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman Auto 130/250 Los Angeles Dodgers

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 22d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $1.18–4.60

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman Auto /250 Los Angeles Dodgers

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 128d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $1.18–4.60

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome - Jesus Galiz 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-JG

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    $6.90

    modeled $1.14–4.42

    LOTTERY

  • JESUS GALIZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH SPECKLE AUTO /299

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 808d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $15.99

    modeled $1.14–4.42

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +277%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -57%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -28%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +333%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    19.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    38

    well below · better than 11% at his level

    .035 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level

    13.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .614 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 45th percentile of the cohort, production at the 27th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 45 and his production sits at 27, a gap of +18. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 76th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

68

AVG

.241

OBP

.338

SLG

.276

OPS

.614

better than 27%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

13.2

K%

19.1

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 40 not shown above
Listings
46

46 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.24
Median ask
$8.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.24
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$4.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 40 cards

  • JESUS GALIZ 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO SN# 118/299 CPA-JGZPASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ 1st Jesus Galiz Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • Jesus Galiz #CPA-JGZ 1st Refractor Auto /499 2023 Bowman ChromePASS
  • $4.992023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 Dodgers CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $4.242023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ Jesus Galiz 1st Prospect Chrome Auto DodgersLOTTERY
  • $4.482023 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto #CPA-JGZ Dodgers - JESUS GALIZLOTTERY
  • $5.632023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $5.632023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $6.00Jesus Galiz 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect RC Auto #CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $6.502023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPAJGZ DodgersLOTTERY
  • $7.322023 Jesus Galiz Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Base Auto LA DodgersLOTTERY
  • $7.502023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ Jesus Galiz 1st Auto DodgersLOTTERY
  • $7.602023 Jesus Galiz Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JGZ (H1200) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
  • $8.20Jesus Galiz - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph - ON-CARD AUTOLOTTERY
  • $8.982023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $8.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jesus Galiz Auto #CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $8.99Jesus Galiz 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Dodgers #CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $9.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JG Jesus Galiz 1st Chrome Auto Dodgers LOTTERY
  • $9.992023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto 1st Bowman Dodgers CPA-JGZLOTTERY
  • $12.88JESUS GALIZ 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ 1st AutoLOTTERY
  • $13.742023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGZ DodgersLOTTERY
  • $14.392023 Bowman Chrome JESUS GALIZ 1ST Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles DodgersLOTTERY
  • Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Prospects #BCP-187 1st Auto DodgersPASS
  • JESUS GALIZ 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto RC DodgersPASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JGZ Jesus Galiz 1st Prospect Chrome Auto DodgersPASS
  • JESUS GALIZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH DODGERS AUTO Q0913PASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-JGZPASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGZ DodgersPASS
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JGZ DodgersPASS
  • JESUS GALIZ #cpa-jgz On-Card Auto 2023 1st Bowman ChromePASS
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Jesus Galiz 1st Bowman #CPAJGZ Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles Dodgers (2)PASS
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz 1st Base Auto #CPA-JGZ Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • $16.252023 Bowman Chrome🔥Jesus Galiz🔥1st AutoLOTTERY
  • $21.622023 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Mojo Refractor /150 Jesus Galiz Auto 0u17LOTTERY
  • $23.072023 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Mojo Refractor /150 Jesus Galiz Auto 1q0lLOTTERY
  • $11.432023 Bowman Chrome Jesus Galiz1st Prospect Purple Refractor Auto 061/250LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player