Deal Sniper

Tytus Cissell

SS · Low-A · 20.0y · #3074 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Tytus Cissell 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Tytus Cissell scores 44 out of 100 (#3074 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    7.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Power slipping

    .103 last season to .053 this one.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    69 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 94% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to Low-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.31 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Tytus Cissell 1st Gold Shimmer Auto /50 Diamondbacks

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$95.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Tytus Cissell 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9

    /499 · PSA 9 · listed 200d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled ~$24.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Tytus Cissell 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-TC Chrome 1st AUTO Refractor #/499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$12.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome Auto Refractor 1st 290/499⚾️

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 224d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$12.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tytus Cissell #CPA-TC PSA 10 GEM MT Auto sc8

    base · PSA 10 · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $63.89

    modeled ~$85.25

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Topps Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-TC Tytus Cissell - Diamondbacks

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 244d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.31

    modeled ~$9.49

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +484%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +39%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $124.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +144%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -79%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $304.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1050%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level

    25.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level

    .053 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level

    7.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 94% at his level

    69 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .610 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 45th percentile of the cohort, production at the 30th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 45 and his production sits at 30, a gap of +15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 74th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.0 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

190

AVG

.234

OBP

.323

SLG

.287

OPS

.610

better than 30%

HR

1

SB

22

BB%

7.4

K%

25.8

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .586 to .610 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Rookie to Low-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.586.610

Power

.103.053

Walks

8.3%7.4%

Strikeouts

36.9%25.8%

Last season, 206 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
Listings
34

34 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.31
Median ask
$15.05
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.31
Cheapest numbered 1st auto

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 28 cards

  • $7.002024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $7.162024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Tytus Cissell #CPA-TCLOTTERY
  • $9.24TYTUS CISSELL 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-TCLOTTERY
  • $9.312024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome Auto 1st Prospect DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $9.99Tytus Cissell 2024 1st Bowman Draft Auto Chrome Prospect Autographs DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $11.19Tytus Cissell 1st AUTO 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-TC CHROME Autograph - DiamondbacksLOTTERY
  • $11.602024 Tytus Cissell Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-TC (H1247)LOTTERY
  • $13.99TYTUS CISSELL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-TCLOTTERY
  • $16.102024 Bowman Draft Chrome Tytus Cissell 1st Bowman Chrome AutoLOTTERY
  • $18.90TYTUS CISSELL 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH DBACKS AUTOLOTTERY
  • $19.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Tytus Cissell Auto #CPA-TC ArizonaLOTTERY
  • 2024 BOWMAN CHROME - TYTUS CISSELL 1ST BOWMAN AUTO #CPA-TC DIAMONDBACKSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Tytus Cissell Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-TC 1st Prospect Auto Arizona DbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Tytus Cissell 1st Auto (RC) #CPA-TC DBACKSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-TC Tytus Cissell Chrome 1st Auto DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-TC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-TC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Autograph Auto Tytus CissellNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-TC Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Tytus Cissell 1st Chrome Auto - Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • TYTUS CISSELL 2 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH AUTO Q3481NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $26.522024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Tytus Cissell #CPA-TC Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Tytus Cissell #CPA-TC Auto 8azLOTTERY
  • $36.872024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Tytus Cissell Auto 0nr3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $37.442024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Tytus Cissell Auto sc8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $51.242024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Tytus Cissell Auto 19znNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $124.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Tytus Cissell Auto sc8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $304.982024 Bowman Draft Baseball 1st GOLD WAVE Auto SSP Tytus Cissell /50 No. TC (J10)NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player