Bryan Lavastida
C · Las Vegas Aviators · Triple-A · 27.0y · #4913 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
29 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
1 card of his is listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Bryan Lavastida scores 29 out of 100 (#4913 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus — 15.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 84% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Power: below average
.111 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.858 last season to .663 this one.
Power slipping
.165 last season to .111 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus
15.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 84% at his level.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
1 card of his is listed · 0 of the 1 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 1 worth looking at, best first.
2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Bryan Lavastida Auto Cleveland Indians #BDC-43 1st Card
Lava · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 420d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.99
modeled ~$9.49
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- LavaTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
15.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
.111 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
9.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
18 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level · the result, not a skill
.663 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, production at the 31th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 84% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 54 and his production sits at 31, a gap of +23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 84th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
307
AVG
.236
OBP
.316
SLG
.347
OPS
.663
better than 31%
HR
6
SB
9
BB%
9.8
K%
15.3
Is this player getting better?
Down from .858 to .663 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.858▼.663
Power
.165▼.111
Walks
12.1%▼9.8%
Strikeouts
17.1%▼15.3%
Last season, 199 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market1 listed · 1 eBay-verified
- Listings
- 1
- Lowest seen
- $11.99
- Median ask
- $11.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $11.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
1 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 2 days ago.
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same