Rhylan Thomas
LF · Sugar Land Space Cowboys · Triple-A · 26.0y · #4928 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Watch
29 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $5.99, over the $3.62 that card has sold in.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, expensive market.
Rhylan Thomas scores 29 out of 100 (#4928 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus-plus — 11.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 93% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–5 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Power: well below
.054 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.791 last season to .611 this one.
Power slipping
.086 last season to .054 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus-plus
11.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 93% at his level.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RTH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.71–4.53midpoint $3.62
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RTH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Rhylan Thomas 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RTH at $12.98, 259% over the $3.62 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $3.62 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RTH Rhylan Thomas Prospect Autograph Auto Mets 1st
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 70d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
sold $3.62
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RTH Rhylan Thomas Prospect Autograph Auto 1st
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 113d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.99
sold $3.62
PASS
Rhylan Thomas 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RTH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 528d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.98
sold $3.62
PASS
Rhylan Thomas 2024 Bowman Chrome - 1st Bowman Mojo Refractor Auto /150 Mets
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 51d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.00
modeled $2.44–9.50
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Rhylan Thomas 1st True Blue Refractor Auto /150 Mets
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 130d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.20
modeled $2.44–9.50
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Rc Rhylan Thomas #CPA-RTH Blue Lava Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$21.00
modeled $2.44–9.50
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +267%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Lava Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Reptilian /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.20 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.20 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level
11.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
38
well below · better than 12% at his level
.054 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
7.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
19 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level · the result, not a skill
.611 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 20th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 90% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 20, a gap of +28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 90th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
185
AVG
.253
OBP
.304
SLG
.307
OPS
.611
better than 20%
HR
2
SB
6
BB%
7.0
K%
11.4
Is this player getting better?
Down from .791 to .611 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.791▼.611
Power
.086▼.054
Walks
7.4%→7.0%
Strikeouts
5.2%▲11.4%
Last season, 618 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
- Listings
- 16
- Lowest seen
- $5.99
- Median ask
- $16.20
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $13.00
16 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 10 cards
- $21.202024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RTH Rhylan Thomas 1st Blue Reptilian Auto #/150PASS
- $22.002024 Bowman Chrome Rhylan Thomas Auto Refractor 147/499 1st Prospect MetsPASS
- $34.982024 Bowman Chrome - Rhylan Thomas #CPA-RTH Green Reptilian Auto #98/99🔥PSA 9PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Rhylan Thomas Auto Refractor /499 1st Prospect MetsPASS
- —Rhylan Thomas 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RTH Purple Refractor 1st RC Auto /250PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rhylan Thomas Auto Purple Refractors /250PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Rhylan Thomas Auto 1st Chrome New York MetsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome-Prospect Auto 1st Rhylan Thomas #CPA-RTH Refractor 354/499PASS
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT RHYLAN THOMAS PURPLE REFRACTOR RC AUTO PSA 9 AstrosPASS
- —RHYLAN THOMAS #CPARTH PSA 10 1ST PROSPECT AUTO 2024 BOWMAN CHROME NEW YORK METSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run