Hayden Cantrelle
2B · Triple-A · 27.0y · #5073 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
28 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Hayden Cantrelle scores 28 out of 100 (#5073 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: above average — 13.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.3% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Contact: well below
33.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.671 last season to .534 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: above average
13.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.
Premium position
2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
22 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 72% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.3% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Hayden Cantrelle #CDA-HCA Auto 1o9i
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$7.54
modeled ~$8.50
PASS
Hayden Cantrelle 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Refractor /250 Brewers
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 151d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.10
no sold price
PASS
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Hayden Cantrelle #CDA-HCA Auto 2a9
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$9.27
modeled ~$12.00
PASS
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor 278/499 Hayden Cantrelle Auto 16zo
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$10.41
modeled ~$12.00
PASS
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Hayden Cantrelle #CDA-HCA Auto 5j0
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$13.58
modeled ~$11.99
PASS
2020 1st Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-HCA Hayden Cantrelle Auto Refractor /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 89d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.64
modeled ~$11.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.54 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.27 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.10 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.38 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +250%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.98 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
38
well below · better than 12% at his level
33.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
.120 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
13.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
22 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · the result, not a skill
.534 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 13th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 95% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 13, a gap of +35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 95th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.9 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
135
AVG
.147
OBP
.267
SLG
.267
OPS
.534
better than 13%
HR
2
SB
5
BB%
13.3
K%
33.3
Is this player getting better?
Down from .671 to .534 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.671▼.534
Power
.098▲.120
Walks
11.9%▲13.3%
Strikeouts
32.7%→33.3%
Last season, 278 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
- Listings
- 14
- Lowest live
- $7.54
- Median ask
- $13.61
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $8.10
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.10
14 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 8 cards
- $13.98Hayden Cantrelle 2020 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Black Refractor Auto /75 BrewersPASS
- $13.99HAYDEN CANTRELLE 2020 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 029/499 #CPA-HCAPASS
- $19.992020 Bowman Chrome Autographs Hayden Cantrelle 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $28.382020 Hayden Cantrelle 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue Refractor #/150 SPPASS
- —2020 1st BOWMAN CHROME HAYDEN CANTRELLE BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO #CDA-HCA /150PASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Hayden Cantrelle #CDA-HCA Blue Wave Refractor /150PASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Draft HAYDEN CANTRELLE 1st Bowman Refractor Auto RC #d/499PASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Hayden Cantrelle Purple Refractor Auto /250 PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run