Deal Sniper

Nick Monistere

SS · High-A · 22.0y · #5120 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

27 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best base card asks $5.60 against the $6.99–8.50 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto… at $5.60. Player not there yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Nick Monistere scores 27 out of 100 (#5120 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $6–9 off 2 confirmed sales.

The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 71 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 61% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (8th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    71 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (38.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 26 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$6.29–9.35midpoint $6.99

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-21 · 31 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 26 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$5.60delivered

Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Base Houston Astros — $5.60 delivered, 20% under the $6.99–8.50 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $1 drop
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

42 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 42 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 36 are under "The whole live market".

  • Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Base Houston Astros

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.60

    sold $6.99–8.50

    LOTTERY · 20% under

  • Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Base Houston Astros

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 85d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $6.99–8.50

    PASS · 14% under

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome - Nick Monistere 1st Bowman True Black On Card Auto /10

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · listed 23d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $11.32–39.27

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome Auto Yellow X-Fractor 1st Prospect #/75 Astros

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $53.99

    modeled $7.55–26.18

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Nick Monistere 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bubblegum Refractor /75

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $550.00

    modeled $7.55–26.18

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman 1ST Prospect Chrome True Blue Refractor Auto /150 Nick Monistere

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $5.66–19.64

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $58.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +953%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $550.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +832%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $53.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -90%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 44 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    37

    well below · better than 10% at his level

    38.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    12.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    17 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    32

    bottom of the scale · better than 4% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .354 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 33th percentile of the cohort, production at the 4th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 92% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 33 and his production sits at 4, a gap of +29. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 92th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

71

AVG

.115

OBP

.239

SLG

.115

OPS

.354

better than 4%

HR

0

SB

2

BB%

12.7

K%

38.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market42 listed · 42 eBay-verified · 36 not shown above
Listings
42

42 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.60
Median ask
$13.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.60
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$53.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 36 cards

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere Speckle Refractor Auto 1st Bowman #/299 CPA-NMPASS
  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome - Nick Monistere - AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR /250PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor #/250PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 Houston AstrosPASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Nick Monistere Houston Astros Blue Auto Serial #33/150PASS
  • $58.992026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Nick Monistere On Card Auto /499 Silver RefractorPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 Nick Monistere Astros 1st Auto Speckle /299 CPA-NMPASS
  • $8.742026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Auto Autograph Prospect #CPA-NM AstrosPASS
  • $9.992026 Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NM Houston Astros (AU)PASS
  • $10.972026 1st Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome Auto #CPA-NMPASS
  • $11.04Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Baseball # CPA-NM 1st Bowman Chrome Base AutoPASS
  • $11.952026 Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome Auto #CPA-NM 1st Prospect Houston AstrosPASS
  • $12.00Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Nick Monistere Astros #CPA-NMPASS
  • $13.002026 Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NM Houston AstrosPASS
  • $13.322026 Bowman - Nick Monistere #CPA-NM - Chrome Prospect Auto - Astros (AU) 1stPASS
  • $16.32NICK MONISTERE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO HOUSTON ASTROS #CPA-NM 1STPASS
  • $17.32NICK MONISTERE 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO HOUSTON ASTROS #CPA-NM 1STPASS
  • $20.502026 Bowman NICK MONISTERE 1st Chrome On-Card Auto #CPA-NM Astros ProspectPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Auto Autograph Prospect #CPA-NM AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Topps Bowman Chrome - Astros Nick Monistere 1st Bowman Base Auto #CPA-NMPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Bowman On Card Auto #CPANM Houston AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Nick Monistere 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-NMPASS
  • Bowman 1st Chrome Nick Monistere Rookie Auto Chrome CPA-NM AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto Nick Monistere CPA-NM 1st Bowman AutographPASS
  • 2026 Bowman NICK MONISTERE Houston Astros 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-NMPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Nick Monistere Chrome Auto #CPA-NMPASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph Nick Monistere Auto #CPA-NM AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Nick Monistere Chrome 1st Auto Astros #CPA-NMPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto Nick Monistere CPA-NM 1st Bowman AutographPASS
  • Nick Monistere 2026 Bowman Baseball # CPA-NM 1st Bowman Chrome Base AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto Nick Monistere CPA-NM 1st Bowman AutographPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Auto On Card CPA-NM Houston AstrosPASS
  • Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Nick Monistere Rookie Auto #CPA-NM Houston AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto Nick Monistere CPA-NM 1st Bowman Auto Houston AstrosPASS
  • 2026 Bowmna Chrome Nick Monistere 1st Bowman Auto CPA-NM AstrosPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player