Deal Sniper

Aaron Schunk

SS · Gwinnett Stripers · Triple-A · 29.0y · #5140 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

27 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

15 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Aaron Schunk scores 27 out of 100 (#5140 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: premium position — SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 17% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 17% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: below average

    7.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    .829 last season to .672 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .186 last season to .130 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Age for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 17% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

15 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 15 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 9 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Aaron Schunk #CDA-AS Auto 9k6

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $7.83

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 433/499 Aaron Schunk #CDA-AS Auto 6fs

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $10.13

    modeled ~$11.99

    PASS

  • 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Aaron Schunk #CDA-AS Autograph Rockies Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1331d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $11.74

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Aaron Schunk #CDA-AS Auto 1k0w

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $12.13

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • AARON SCHUNK 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-AS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 425d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.99

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AARON SCHUNK Purple Auto #'d /250 Aqua Ref base x2

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 369d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.67

    no sold price

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.83, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +29%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.67, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +330%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $115.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +83%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    22.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    .130 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    7.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level

    15 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    45

    below average · better than 32% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .672 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level · context, not a skill

    -3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 43th percentile of the cohort, production at the 32th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 43 and his production sits at 32, a gap of +11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 65th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

354

AVG

.237

OBP

.305

SLG

.367

OPS

.672

better than 32%

HR

6

SB

9

BB%

7.9

K%

22.9

Is this player getting better?

Down from .829 to .672 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.829.672

Power

.186.130

Walks

8.0%7.9%

Strikeouts

18.2%22.9%

Last season, 363 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market15 listed · 15 eBay-verified · 9 not shown above
Listings
15

15 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$7.83
Median ask
$20.24
Cheapest 1st auto
$11.74
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$14.67

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 9 cards

  • $19.492019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Aaron Schunk PSA 9 AutoPASS
  • $20.982019 Bowman Draft Chrome Blue Refractor /150 Aaron Schunk Auto | PSA 9 | BravesPASS
  • $30.492019 Bowman Draft Aaron Schunk Green Chrome Refractor Auto 53/99 PSA 9 MintPASS
  • $42.042019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 11/99 Aaron Schunk PSA 9 Auto 1q7PASS
  • $42.042019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Aaron Schunk PSA 9 MINT Auto 0l8PASS
  • $46.022019 Bowman 1st Draft Chrome Aaron Schunk Refractor Auto /499 - PSA 10 💎PASS
  • $63.022019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor 55/75 Aaron Schunk Auto t5pPASS
  • $115.072019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Wave Refractor 16/50 Aaron Schunk Auto 0m76PASS
  • Topps 2019 Bowman Draft Aaron Schunk Colorado Rockies #CDA-AS 1st Bowman AutoPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player